Shareholders in Cooper Energy (ASX:COE) have lost 45%, as stock drops 11% this past week

By
Simply Wall St
Published
December 01, 2021
ASX:COE
Source: Shutterstock

While it may not be enough for some shareholders, we think it is good to see the Cooper Energy Limited (ASX:COE) share price up 11% in a single quarter. But that doesn't help the fact that the three year return is less impressive. After all, the share price is down 45% in the last three years, significantly under-performing the market.

Since Cooper Energy has shed AU$49m from its value in the past 7 days, let's see if the longer term decline has been driven by the business' economics.

Check out our latest analysis for Cooper Energy

Cooper Energy isn't currently profitable, so most analysts would look to revenue growth to get an idea of how fast the underlying business is growing. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. That's because it's hard to be confident a company will be sustainable if revenue growth is negligible, and it never makes a profit.

Over three years, Cooper Energy grew revenue at 18% per year. That's a pretty good rate of top-line growth. Shareholders have endured a share price decline of 13% per year. So the market has definitely lost some love for the stock. With revenue growing at a solid clip, now might be the time to focus on the possibility that it will have a brighter future.

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
ASX:COE Earnings and Revenue Growth December 1st 2021

We consider it positive that insiders have made significant purchases in the last year. Even so, future earnings will be far more important to whether current shareholders make money. This free report showing analyst forecasts should help you form a view on Cooper Energy

A Different Perspective

While the broader market gained around 16% in the last year, Cooper Energy shareholders lost 32%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 5% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Take risks, for example - Cooper Energy has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

Cooper Energy is not the only stock insiders are buying. So take a peek at this free list of growing companies with insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on AU exchanges.

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