Stock Analysis

We Think Calima Energy (ASX:CE1) Has A Fair Chunk Of Debt

ASX:CE1
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Calima Energy Limited (ASX:CE1) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Calima Energy

What Is Calima Energy's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at December 2021 Calima Energy had debt of AU$21.7m, up from AU$857.0k in one year. However, it does have AU$4.13m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about AU$17.6m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ASX:CE1 Debt to Equity History April 28th 2022

A Look At Calima Energy's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Calima Energy had liabilities of AU$41.8m due within 12 months and liabilities of AU$25.7m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of AU$4.13m as well as receivables valued at AU$7.19m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total AU$56.2m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Calima Energy has a market capitalization of AU$110.7m, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Calima Energy's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

In the last year Calima Energy wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 11,114%, to AU$39m. When it comes to revenue growth, that's like nailing the game winning 3-pointer!

Caveat Emptor

Even though Calima Energy managed to grow its top line quite deftly, the cold hard truth is that it is losing money on the EBIT line. Indeed, it lost a very considerable AU$41m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. Another cause for caution is that is bled AU$3.5m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So to be blunt we think it is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Calima Energy (2 are concerning) you should be aware of.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.