The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Calima Energy Limited (ASX:CE1) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Calima Energy
How Much Debt Does Calima Energy Carry?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2021 Calima Energy had debt of AU$17.8m, up from AU$755.9k in one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of AU$2.24m, its net debt is less, at about AU$15.6m.
How Healthy Is Calima Energy's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Calima Energy had liabilities of AU$31.8m due within 12 months, and liabilities of AU$23.1m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had AU$2.24m in cash and AU$5.94m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by AU$46.7m.
Calima Energy has a market capitalization of AU$92.5m, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Calima Energy's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
In the last year Calima Energy's revenue was pretty flat, and it made a negative EBIT. While that hardly impresses, its not too bad either.
Caveat Emptor
Over the last twelve months Calima Energy produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at AU$4.5m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. However, it doesn't help that it burned through AU$4.9m of cash over the last year. So in short it's a really risky stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 3 warning signs with Calima Energy (at least 1 which shouldn't be ignored) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About ASX:CE1
Calima Energy
A production-focused energy company, explores for and develops oil and natural gas assets in the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin.
Flawless balance sheet and good value.