Stock Analysis

Beach Energy Limited's (ASX:BPT) Shares Lagging The Industry But So Is The Business

ASX:BPT
Source: Shutterstock

Beach Energy Limited's (ASX:BPT) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.1x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the Oil and Gas industry in Australia, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 5x and even P/S above 106x are quite common. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for Beach Energy

ps-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:BPT Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 6th 2024

What Does Beach Energy's Recent Performance Look Like?

With only a limited decrease in revenue compared to most other companies of late, Beach Energy has been doing relatively well. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this relatively better revenue performance might be about to deteriorate significantly. You'd much rather the company continue improving its revenue if you still believe in the business. But at the very least, you'd be hoping that revenue doesn't fall off a cliff completely if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Beach Energy.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Beach Energy would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 1.5%. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 18% overall rise in revenue. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 9.8% each year over the next three years. With the industry predicted to deliver 195% growth per year, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

In light of this, it's understandable that Beach Energy's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Beach Energy's P/S?

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

As we suspected, our examination of Beach Energy's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. Shareholders' pessimism on the revenue prospects for the company seems to be the main contributor to the depressed P/S. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. Our free balance sheet analysis for Beach Energy with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Beach Energy is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.