Beach Energy Valuation

Is BPT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BPT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BPT (A$1.84) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$5.66)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BPT is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BPT?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

BPT key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA21.9x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does BPT's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for BPT vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.1x
STO Santos
2.8x5.1%AU$25.1b
KAR Karoon Energy
1.4x-6.8%AU$1.7b
COE Cooper Energy
2.9x16.6%AU$580.8m
HZN Horizon Oil
1.3x7.5%AU$291.3m
BPT Beach Energy
2.4x9.1%AU$4.2b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: BPT is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.4x) compared to the peer average (2.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BPT's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Oil and Gas Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.9%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.9%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: BPT is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.4x) compared to the Australian Oil and Gas industry average (4.5x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BPT's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BPT PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio2.4x
Fair PS Ratio2.5x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: BPT is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BPT forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$1.84
AU$1.97
+7.1%
13.5%AU$2.58AU$1.65n/a16
Mar ’25AU$1.64
AU$1.92
+16.8%
14.3%AU$2.58AU$1.65n/a16
Feb ’25AU$1.67
AU$1.80
+7.7%
13.7%AU$2.50AU$1.55n/a16
Jan ’25AU$1.60
AU$1.79
+12.0%
14.6%AU$2.50AU$1.50n/a17
Dec ’24AU$1.49
AU$1.79
+20.5%
14.8%AU$2.50AU$1.50n/a17
Nov ’24AU$1.55
AU$1.79
+15.5%
14.8%AU$2.50AU$1.50n/a17
Oct ’24AU$1.64
AU$1.79
+8.9%
13.4%AU$2.50AU$1.50n/a17
Sep ’24AU$1.59
AU$1.82
+15.1%
15.5%AU$2.52AU$1.50n/a19
Aug ’24AU$1.65
AU$1.88
+13.7%
19.6%AU$3.10AU$1.50n/a19
Jul ’24AU$1.35
AU$1.83
+35.3%
20.2%AU$3.00AU$1.35n/a19
Jun ’24AU$1.41
AU$1.82
+29.5%
20.6%AU$3.00AU$1.35n/a18
May ’24AU$1.49
AU$1.86
+25.3%
19.6%AU$3.00AU$1.48n/a18
Apr ’24AU$1.42
AU$1.89
+33.3%
19.3%AU$3.00AU$1.48n/a18
Mar ’24AU$1.44
AU$1.90
+32.3%
19.1%AU$3.00AU$1.50AU$1.6418
Feb ’24AU$1.48
AU$2.00
+35.0%
20.8%AU$3.08AU$1.45AU$1.6718
Jan ’24AU$1.60
AU$2.09
+31.0%
18.0%AU$3.08AU$1.54AU$1.6018
Dec ’23AU$1.85
AU$2.12
+14.9%
18.1%AU$3.08AU$1.54AU$1.4916
Nov ’23AU$1.64
AU$2.04
+24.9%
19.9%AU$3.08AU$1.50AU$1.5517
Oct ’23AU$1.49
AU$2.04
+37.1%
18.3%AU$3.08AU$1.50AU$1.6417
Sep ’23AU$1.64
AU$2.04
+24.6%
18.1%AU$3.08AU$1.55AU$1.5917
Aug ’23AU$1.82
AU$2.11
+15.8%
10.9%AU$2.80AU$1.80AU$1.6516
Jul ’23AU$1.71
AU$1.99
+16.6%
12.4%AU$2.70AU$1.65AU$1.3515
Jun ’23AU$1.75
AU$1.96
+12.2%
13.5%AU$2.70AU$1.51AU$1.4115
May ’23AU$1.63
AU$1.95
+19.8%
13.4%AU$2.70AU$1.58AU$1.4915
Apr ’23AU$1.56
AU$1.89
+21.0%
13.1%AU$2.70AU$1.58AU$1.4215
Mar ’23AU$1.54
AU$1.84
+19.4%
14.2%AU$2.70AU$1.50AU$1.4415

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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