EML Payments Limited

CHIA:EML Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$334.8m

EML Payments Valuation

Is EML undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of EML when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate EML's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate EML's fair value for valuation analysis.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for EML?

Key metric: As EML is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for EML. This is calculated by dividing EML's market cap by their current revenue.
What is EML's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1.5x
SalesAU$217.34m
Market CapAU$334.81m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does EML's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for EML vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.6x
OFX OFX Group
1.4x6.5%AU$323.5m
CCL Cuscal
1.2xn/aAU$459.7m
TYR Tyro Payments
1x4.2%AU$490.1m
CCA Change Financial
2.8x30.0%AU$46.0m
EML EML Payments
1.5x2.1%AU$334.8m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: EML is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.5x) compared to the peer average (1.6x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does EML's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Diversified Financial Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
WTL WT Financial Group
0.2xn/aUS$21.58m
YBR Yellow Brick Road Holdings
0.1xn/aUS$13.02m
No more companies available in this PS range
EML 1.5xIndustry Avg. 2.1xNo. of Companies4PS012345+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: EML is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.5x) compared to the Oceanic Diversified Financial industry average (2.1x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is EML's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

EML PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.5x
Fair PS Ratio2.6x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: EML is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst EML forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$0.88
AU$1.15
+30.7%
6.2%AU$1.20AU$1.05n/a3
Nov ’25AU$0.64
AU$1.05
+64.1%
11.7%AU$1.20AU$0.90n/a3
Oct ’25AU$0.63
AU$1.05
+68.1%
11.7%AU$1.20AU$0.90n/a3
Sep ’25AU$0.70
AU$1.02
+45.9%
11.8%AU$1.20AU$0.90n/a4
Aug ’25AU$0.92
AU$1.06
+15.2%
8.6%AU$1.17AU$0.92n/a4
Jul ’25AU$0.95
AU$1.16
+22.1%
18.6%AU$1.50AU$0.92n/a4
Jun ’25AU$0.94
AU$1.16
+23.4%
18.6%AU$1.50AU$0.92n/a4
May ’25AU$0.98
AU$1.16
+17.8%
18.6%AU$1.50AU$0.92n/a4
Apr ’25AU$1.22
AU$1.11
-9.1%
19.7%AU$1.50AU$0.90n/a5
Mar ’25AU$0.96
AU$1.04
+8.3%
12.0%AU$1.20AU$0.90n/a5
Feb ’25AU$0.89
AU$1.07
+20.8%
11.5%AU$1.20AU$0.90n/a4
Jan ’25AU$0.80
AU$1.07
+34.5%
22.0%AU$1.40AU$0.80n/a4
Dec ’24AU$0.85
AU$0.98
+15.6%
27.6%AU$1.40AU$0.64n/a5
Nov ’24AU$1.13
AU$0.98
-13.0%
27.6%AU$1.40AU$0.64AU$0.645
Oct ’24AU$1.18
AU$0.98
-16.4%
27.6%AU$1.40AU$0.64AU$0.635
Sep ’24AU$1.12
AU$0.94
-15.4%
27.0%AU$1.40AU$0.64AU$0.705
Aug ’24AU$0.83
AU$0.63
-23.8%
19.7%AU$0.80AU$0.42AU$0.925
Jul ’24AU$0.63
AU$0.69
+10.1%
25.6%AU$1.00AU$0.42AU$0.956
Jun ’24AU$0.70
AU$0.69
-1.2%
25.6%AU$1.00AU$0.42AU$0.946
May ’24AU$0.68
AU$0.70
+4.4%
27.4%AU$1.00AU$0.42AU$0.985
Apr ’24AU$0.55
AU$0.70
+28.1%
27.4%AU$1.00AU$0.42AU$1.225
Mar ’24AU$0.47
AU$0.82
+71.9%
34.1%AU$1.40AU$0.42AU$0.968
Feb ’24AU$0.63
AU$1.00
+58.5%
39.6%AU$1.85AU$0.63AU$0.898
Jan ’24AU$0.63
AU$1.19
+90.8%
40.7%AU$2.00AU$0.63AU$0.808
Dec ’23AU$0.65
AU$1.19
+84.9%
40.7%AU$2.00AU$0.63AU$0.858
Nov ’23AU$0.53
AU$1.32
+148.6%
29.7%AU$2.00AU$0.80AU$1.138

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

Discover undervalued companies

Navigator Global Investments

AU$830.7m

HFA Holdings Limited operates as a fund management company in Australia.

NGI

AU$1.70

7D

2.1%

1Y

38.9%

OFX Group

AU$323.5m

Provides international payments and foreign exchange services in the Asia Pacific, North America, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa.

OFX

AU$1.36

7D

-0.7%

1Y

-4.6%

Navigator Global Investments

AU$830.7m

HFA Holdings Limited operates as a fund management company in Australia.

NGI

AU$1.68

7D

1.5%

1Y

37.3%