Tyro Payments Valuation

Is TYR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TYR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TYR (A$0.94) is trading above our estimate of fair value (A$0.8)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TYR is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TYR?

Key metric: As TYR is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for TYR. This is calculated by dividing TYR's market cap by their current earnings.
What is TYR's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio19.2x
EarningsAU$25.71m
Market CapAU$492.73m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TYR's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TYR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average31.2x
OFX OFX Group
13.1x20.1%AU$338.4m
FND Findi
91.1x64.8%AU$334.4m
AFG Australian Finance Group
15xn/aAU$434.6m
PPM Pepper Money
5.8x9.4%AU$603.2m
TYR Tyro Payments
19.2x1.5%AU$492.7m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TYR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.2x) compared to the peer average (31.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TYR's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Diversified Financial Industry?

52 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TYR 19.2xIndustry Avg. 16.2xNo. of Companies94PE01632486480+
52 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TYR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.2x) compared to the Global Diversified Financial industry average (16.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TYR's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TYR PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio19.2x
Fair PE Ratio14.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: TYR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TYR forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$0.94
AU$1.41
+51.3%
11.7%AU$1.65AU$1.15n/a11
Nov ’25AU$0.78
AU$1.41
+82.5%
11.7%AU$1.65AU$1.15n/a11
Oct ’25AU$0.92
AU$1.41
+53.6%
14.5%AU$1.70AU$1.09n/a11
Sep ’25AU$1.02
AU$1.40
+38.4%
13.8%AU$1.63AU$1.09n/a11
Aug ’25AU$0.92
AU$1.44
+56.2%
13.3%AU$1.70AU$1.09n/a11
Jul ’25AU$0.96
AU$1.44
+49.7%
13.3%AU$1.70AU$1.09n/a11
Jun ’25AU$0.81
AU$1.45
+80.2%
14.7%AU$1.85AU$1.09n/a11
May ’25AU$0.93
AU$1.45
+56.0%
14.7%AU$1.85AU$1.09n/a11
Apr ’25AU$1.03
AU$1.45
+40.9%
14.7%AU$1.85AU$1.09n/a11
Mar ’25AU$1.17
AU$1.45
+24.0%
14.7%AU$1.85AU$1.09n/a11
Feb ’25AU$1.08
AU$1.59
+47.0%
16.5%AU$2.00AU$1.08n/a9
Jan ’25AU$1.11
AU$1.61
+45.3%
16.7%AU$2.00AU$1.08n/a9
Dec ’24AU$1.04
AU$1.61
+54.4%
16.7%AU$2.00AU$1.08n/a9
Nov ’24AU$0.86
AU$1.70
+96.2%
13.5%AU$2.00AU$1.30AU$0.789
Oct ’24AU$1.36
AU$1.77
+31.0%
19.5%AU$2.60AU$1.37AU$0.929
Sep ’24AU$1.44
AU$1.77
+23.2%
19.5%AU$2.60AU$1.37AU$1.029
Aug ’24AU$1.38
AU$1.75
+27.1%
21.2%AU$2.60AU$1.33AU$0.929
Jul ’24AU$1.14
AU$1.75
+53.9%
22.5%AU$2.60AU$1.25AU$0.969
Jun ’24AU$1.12
AU$1.75
+56.6%
22.5%AU$2.60AU$1.25AU$0.819
May ’24AU$1.56
AU$1.75
+12.4%
21.1%AU$2.60AU$1.25AU$0.939
Apr ’24AU$1.44
AU$1.75
+22.2%
21.1%AU$2.60AU$1.25AU$1.039
Mar ’24AU$1.60
AU$1.66
+4.0%
27.1%AU$2.60AU$0.82AU$1.1710
Feb ’24AU$1.53
AU$1.62
+6.1%
27.4%AU$2.60AU$0.82AU$1.0810
Jan ’24AU$1.42
AU$1.58
+12.0%
33.2%AU$2.80AU$0.82AU$1.1110
Dec ’23AU$1.77
AU$1.58
-10.3%
35.0%AU$2.80AU$0.82AU$1.049
Nov ’23AU$1.58
AU$1.57
-0.9%
35.1%AU$2.80AU$0.82AU$0.869

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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