Stock Analysis

Something To Consider Before Buying Pengana Capital Group Limited (ASX:PCG) For The 5.0% Dividend

ASX:PCG
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Could Pengana Capital Group Limited (ASX:PCG) be an attractive dividend share to own for the long haul? Investors are often drawn to strong companies with the idea of reinvesting the dividends. Yet sometimes, investors buy a popular dividend stock because of its yield, and then lose money if the company's dividend doesn't live up to expectations.

Pengana Capital Group pays a 5.0% dividend yield, and has been paying dividends for the past three years. It's certainly an attractive yield, but readers are likely curious about its staying power. The company also returned around 1.6% of its market capitalisation to shareholders in the form of stock buybacks over the past year. Some simple analysis can reduce the risk of holding Pengana Capital Group for its dividend, and we'll focus on the most important aspects below.

Explore this interactive chart for our latest analysis on Pengana Capital Group!

historic-dividend
ASX:PCG Historic Dividend January 12th 2021

Payout ratios

Dividends are usually paid out of company earnings. If a company is paying more than it earns, then the dividend might become unsustainable - hardly an ideal situation. So we need to form a view on if a company's dividend is sustainable, relative to its net profit after tax. In the last year, Pengana Capital Group paid out 110% of its profit as dividends. Unless there are extenuating circumstances, from the perspective of an investor who hopes to own the company for many years, a payout ratio of above 100% is definitely a concern.

Remember, you can always get a snapshot of Pengana Capital Group's latest financial position, by checking our visualisation of its financial health.

Dividend Volatility

From the perspective of an income investor who wants to earn dividends for many years, there is not much point buying a stock if its dividend is regularly cut or is not reliable. It has only been paying dividends for a few short years, and the dividend has already been cut at least once. This is one income stream we're not ready to live on. During the past three-year period, the first annual payment was AU$0.04 in 2018, compared to AU$0.08 last year. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 21% a year over that time. The dividends haven't grown at precisely 21% every year, but this is a useful way to average out the historical rate of growth.

Pengana Capital Group has grown distributions at a rapid rate despite cutting the dividend at least once in the past. Companies that cut once often cut again, but it might be worth considering if the business has turned a corner.

Dividend Growth Potential

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share (EPS) are growing - it's not worth taking the risk on a dividend getting cut, unless you might be rewarded with larger dividends in future. Over the past three years, it looks as though Pengana Capital Group's EPS have declined at around 33% a year. A sharp decline in earnings per share is not great from from a dividend perspective, as even conservative payout ratios can come under pressure if earnings fall far enough.

Conclusion

Dividend investors should always want to know if a) a company's dividends are affordable, b) if there is a track record of consistent payments, and c) if the dividend is capable of growing. Pengana Capital Group is paying out a larger percentage of its profit than we're comfortable with. Second, earnings per share have been in decline, and its dividend has been cut at least once in the past. In short, we're not keen on Pengana Capital Group from a dividend perspective. Businesses can change, but we've spotted a few too many concerns with this one to get comfortable.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 1 warning sign for Pengana Capital Group that investors need to be conscious of moving forward.

Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our curated list of dividend stocks with a yield above 3%.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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