Stock Analysis

Following a 55% decline over last year, recent gains may please Omni Bridgeway Limited (ASX:OBL) institutional owners

ASX:OBL
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Key Insights

  • Institutions' substantial holdings in Omni Bridgeway implies that they have significant influence over the company's share price
  • The top 8 shareholders own 51% of the company
  • Using data from company's past performance alongside ownership research, one can better assess the future performance of a company

To get a sense of who is truly in control of Omni Bridgeway Limited (ASX:OBL), it is important to understand the ownership structure of the business. We can see that institutions own the lion's share in the company with 69% ownership. That is, the group stands to benefit the most if the stock rises (or lose the most if there is a downturn).

Last week's AU$41m market cap gain would probably be appreciated by institutional investors, especially after a year of 55% losses.

Let's take a closer look to see what the different types of shareholders can tell us about Omni Bridgeway.

View our latest analysis for Omni Bridgeway

ownership-breakdown
ASX:OBL Ownership Breakdown September 3rd 2024

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About Omni Bridgeway?

Institutions typically measure themselves against a benchmark when reporting to their own investors, so they often become more enthusiastic about a stock once it's included in a major index. We would expect most companies to have some institutions on the register, especially if they are growing.

We can see that Omni Bridgeway does have institutional investors; and they hold a good portion of the company's stock. This implies the analysts working for those institutions have looked at the stock and they like it. But just like anyone else, they could be wrong. When multiple institutions own a stock, there's always a risk that they are in a 'crowded trade'. When such a trade goes wrong, multiple parties may compete to sell stock fast. This risk is higher in a company without a history of growth. You can see Omni Bridgeway's historic earnings and revenue below, but keep in mind there's always more to the story.

earnings-and-revenue-growth
ASX:OBL Earnings and Revenue Growth September 3rd 2024

Institutional investors own over 50% of the company, so together than can probably strongly influence board decisions. Omni Bridgeway is not owned by hedge funds. Looking at our data, we can see that the largest shareholder is Perpetual Limited with 9.6% of shares outstanding. With 9.5% and 5.8% of the shares outstanding respectively, The Retail Employees Superannuation Trust and Samuel Terry Asset Management Pty Ltd are the second and third largest shareholders. Furthermore, CEO Raymond van Hulst is the owner of 1.8% of the company's shares.

On further inspection, we found that more than half the company's shares are owned by the top 8 shareholders, suggesting that the interests of the larger shareholders are balanced out to an extent by the smaller ones.

While it makes sense to study institutional ownership data for a company, it also makes sense to study analyst sentiments to know which way the wind is blowing. While there is some analyst coverage, the company is probably not widely covered. So it could gain more attention, down the track.

Insider Ownership Of Omni Bridgeway

The definition of company insiders can be subjective and does vary between jurisdictions. Our data reflects individual insiders, capturing board members at the very least. Company management run the business, but the CEO will answer to the board, even if he or she is a member of it.

I generally consider insider ownership to be a good thing. However, on some occasions it makes it more difficult for other shareholders to hold the board accountable for decisions.

We can see that insiders own shares in Omni Bridgeway Limited. As individuals, the insiders collectively own AU$7.5m worth of the AU$283m company. Some would say this shows alignment of interests between shareholders and the board, though we generally prefer to see bigger insider holdings. But it might be worth checking if those insiders have been selling.

General Public Ownership

With a 28% ownership, the general public, mostly comprising of individual investors, have some degree of sway over Omni Bridgeway. This size of ownership, while considerable, may not be enough to change company policy if the decision is not in sync with other large shareholders.

Next Steps:

It's always worth thinking about the different groups who own shares in a company. But to understand Omni Bridgeway better, we need to consider many other factors.

Many find it useful to take an in depth look at how a company has performed in the past. You can access this detailed graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.

But ultimately it is the future, not the past, that will determine how well the owners of this business will do. Therefore we think it advisable to take a look at this free report showing whether analysts are predicting a brighter future.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.