Stock Analysis

3 ASX Stocks Estimated To Be Trading Below Intrinsic Value By At Least 16.8%

ASX:NGI
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Over the last 7 days, the Australian market has risen 2.2%, and over the past 12 months, it is up 11%, with earnings expected to grow by 13% per annum over the next few years. In this context of robust market performance, identifying stocks trading below their intrinsic value can offer significant opportunities for investors seeking to capitalize on potential undervaluation.

Top 10 Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows In Australia

NameCurrent PriceFair Value (Est)Discount (Est)
LaserBond (ASX:LBL)A$0.73A$1.3746.6%
Telix Pharmaceuticals (ASX:TLX)A$19.75A$38.9649.3%
Ingenia Communities Group (ASX:INA)A$5.37A$10.5849.2%
Regal Partners (ASX:RPL)A$3.45A$6.6247.9%
Megaport (ASX:MP1)A$11.22A$21.5247.9%
Domino's Pizza Enterprises (ASX:DMP)A$33.41A$63.6147.5%
Treasury Wine Estates (ASX:TWE)A$12.11A$24.1949.9%
Millennium Services Group (ASX:MIL)A$1.145A$2.2448.9%
hipages Group Holdings (ASX:HPG)A$1.20A$2.3148%
Airtasker (ASX:ART)A$0.265A$0.5249.4%

Click here to see the full list of 38 stocks from our Undervalued ASX Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener.

Let's dive into some prime choices out of the screener.

Ingenia Communities Group (ASX:INA)

Overview: Ingenia Communities Group (ASX:INA) is a leading operator, owner, and developer offering quality residential communities and holiday accommodation with a market cap of A$2.19 billion.

Operations: Ingenia Communities Group generates revenue from three main segments: Residential Communities (A$140.70 million), Lifestyle & Holidays (A$78.50 million), and Fuel, Food & Beverage Services (A$15.30 million).

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 49.2%

Ingenia Communities Group's recent earnings report showed a rise in revenue to A$472.29 million from A$394.47 million, although net income dropped significantly to A$14.02 million from A$64.37 million due to large one-off items impacting results. Trading at around 49% below its estimated fair value of A$10.58, Ingenia appears undervalued based on cash flows despite lower profit margins and debt not well covered by operating cash flow.

ASX:INA Discounted Cash Flow as at Aug 2024
ASX:INA Discounted Cash Flow as at Aug 2024

Navigator Global Investments (ASX:NGI)

Overview: Navigator Global Investments (ASX:NGI) is a fund management company operating in Australia with a market cap of A$867.35 million.

Operations: Navigator Global Investments generates its revenue primarily from its Lighthouse segment, which accounted for $120.49 million.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 16.8%

Navigator Global Investments (A$1.72) is trading 16.8% below its estimated fair value of A$2.07, suggesting it may be undervalued based on cash flows. Despite a significant drop in profit margins from 55.4% to 11.1%, earnings are forecast to grow at a robust rate of 34.64% per year, outpacing the Australian market's growth rate of 13.1%. However, shareholders experienced substantial dilution over the past year and return on equity is expected to remain low at 10.6%.

ASX:NGI Discounted Cash Flow as at Aug 2024
ASX:NGI Discounted Cash Flow as at Aug 2024

Nuix (ASX:NXL)

Overview: Nuix Limited offers investigative analytics and intelligence software solutions across the Asia Pacific, Americas, Europe, Middle East, and Africa with a market cap of A$1.42 billion.

Operations: Nuix generates revenue through its investigative analytics and intelligence software solutions across various regions, including the Asia Pacific, Americas, Europe, Middle East, and Africa.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 17.2%

Nuix Limited (A$4.77) trades below its estimated fair value of A$5.76, indicating potential undervaluation based on cash flows. The company reported a net income of A$5.03 million for the year ending June 30, 2024, reversing a prior net loss. Revenue grew to A$220.62 million from A$182.47 million, and earnings are forecast to grow significantly at 57% per year over the next three years, outpacing the Australian market's growth rate of 13.1%.

ASX:NXL Discounted Cash Flow as at Aug 2024
ASX:NXL Discounted Cash Flow as at Aug 2024

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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