Navigator Global Investments Limited

ASX:NGI Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$828.3m

Navigator Global Investments Valuation

Is NGI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NGI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NGI (A$1.7) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$1.79)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NGI is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NGI?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

NGI key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue5.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA30x
PEG Ratio1.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does NGI's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for NGI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average26.1x
QAL Qualitas
28.7x25.1%AU$699.7m
PL8 Plato Income Maximiser
16.6xn/aAU$890.9m
DJW Djerriwarrh Investments
25.9xn/aAU$783.7m
EQT EQT Holdings
33.2x21.1%AU$817.1m
NGI Navigator Global Investments
54.4x28.1%AU$828.3m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: NGI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (54.4x) compared to the peer average (26.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NGI's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Capital Markets Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.4%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.4%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NGI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (54.4x) compared to the Australian Capital Markets industry average (20.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NGI's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NGI PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio54.4x
Fair PE Ratio24.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: NGI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (54.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NGI forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$1.70
AU$1.97
+16.0%
20.2%AU$2.50AU$1.55n/a3
Apr ’25AU$1.64
AU$1.97
+19.9%
20.2%AU$2.50AU$1.55n/a3
Mar ’25AU$1.46
AU$1.97
+35.2%
20.2%AU$2.50AU$1.55n/a3
Feb ’25AU$1.36
AU$2.01
+48.1%
18.3%AU$2.50AU$1.62n/a3
Jan ’25AU$1.27
AU$2.01
+58.0%
18.3%AU$2.50AU$1.62n/a3
Dec ’24AU$1.24
AU$2.01
+61.8%
18.3%AU$2.50AU$1.62n/a3
Nov ’24AU$1.20
AU$2.01
+67.2%
18.3%AU$2.50AU$1.62n/a3
Oct ’24AU$1.35
AU$2.02
+50.4%
17.9%AU$2.50AU$1.62n/a3
Sep ’24AU$1.44
AU$2.02
+40.5%
17.9%AU$2.50AU$1.62n/a3
Aug ’24AU$1.47
AU$1.89
+29.0%
17.9%AU$2.30AU$1.47n/a3
Jul ’24AU$1.33
AU$1.82
+37.1%
14.4%AU$2.10AU$1.47n/a3
Jun ’24AU$1.02
AU$1.82
+78.8%
14.4%AU$2.10AU$1.47n/a3
May ’24AU$1.03
AU$1.82
+77.9%
14.4%AU$2.10AU$1.47n/a3
Apr ’24AU$1.05
AU$1.87
+78.4%
16.2%AU$2.20AU$1.47AU$1.643
Mar ’24AU$1.10
AU$1.87
+70.3%
16.2%AU$2.20AU$1.47AU$1.463
Feb ’24AU$1.27
AU$2.13
+67.7%
4.3%AU$2.20AU$2.00AU$1.363
Jan ’24AU$1.16
AU$2.13
+83.6%
4.3%AU$2.20AU$2.00AU$1.273
Dec ’23AU$1.20
AU$2.13
+78.2%
4.3%AU$2.20AU$2.00AU$1.243
Nov ’23AU$1.17
AU$2.13
+82.8%
4.3%AU$2.20AU$2.00AU$1.203
Oct ’23AU$1.13
AU$2.23
+97.3%
2.2%AU$2.30AU$2.19AU$1.353
Sep ’23AU$1.29
AU$2.25
+74.7%
2.4%AU$2.30AU$2.19AU$1.442
Aug ’23AU$1.54
AU$2.20
+42.5%
0.2%AU$2.20AU$2.19AU$1.472
Jul ’23AU$1.28
AU$2.33
+81.6%
1.1%AU$2.35AU$2.30AU$1.332
Jun ’23AU$1.52
AU$2.33
+53.5%
1.1%AU$2.35AU$2.30AU$1.022
May ’23AU$1.62
AU$2.33
+43.5%
1.1%AU$2.35AU$2.30AU$1.032
Apr ’23AU$1.63
AU$2.30
+40.8%
4.6%AU$2.40AU$2.19AU$1.052

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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