Stock Analysis

Getting In Cheap On MA Financial Group Limited (ASX:MAF) Might Be Difficult

ASX:MAF
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With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 25.5x MA Financial Group Limited (ASX:MAF) may be sending bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Australia have P/E ratios under 18x and even P/E's lower than 10x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.

MA Financial Group hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. It might be that many expect the dour earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be extremely nervous about the viability of the share price.

See our latest analysis for MA Financial Group

pe-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:MAF Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry February 22nd 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think MA Financial Group's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Does Growth Match The High P/E?

MA Financial Group's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the market.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 36%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 5.4% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 43% per year as estimated by the three analysts watching the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 16% per year, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.

With this information, we can see why MA Financial Group is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Key Takeaway

It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that MA Financial Group maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 4 warning signs with MA Financial Group (at least 2 which are a bit unpleasant), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.