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Challenger LimitedASX:CGF Stock Report

Market Cap AU$6.5b
Share Price
AU$9.35
AU$9.38
0.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
1Y25.5%
7D1.7%
1D
Portfolio Value
View

Challenger Limited

ASX:CGF Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$6.5b

CGF Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what 20 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

Challenger Limited Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Challenger
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceAU$9.35
52 Week HighAU$9.62
52 Week LowAU$7.25
Beta0.61
1 Month Change10.00%
3 Month Change4.12%
1 Year Change25.50%
3 Year Change52.53%
5 Year Change79.12%
Change since IPO266.67%

Recent News & Updates

Narrative Update May 14

CGF: Capital Returns And P E Calibration Will Shape Future Repricing Outlook

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Challenger by A$0.09 to reflect slightly lower assumed discount rates and a modestly reduced future P/E multiple, while keeping fair value estimates broadly unchanged. Analyst Commentary Recent sector research on alternative asset managers has focused on resetting valuation assumptions, adjusting earnings expectations for fee based businesses and reassessing how much multiple investors may be willing to pay for forward earnings.
Narrative Update Apr 27

CGF: Capital Returns And Cost Discipline Will Support Future Repricing Outlook

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Challenger to A$9.38 from A$9.50, citing slightly softer assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples, while keeping the discount rate broadly unchanged. Analyst Commentary Recent research across the broader asset management sector shows a mix of optimism and caution on valuation, execution and growth, which offers useful context for Challenger investors assessing the latest price target trim.
Narrative Update Apr 09

CGF: Capital Returns And Cost Discipline Will Support Future Repricing Potential

Analysts have nudged their price target for Challenger slightly higher to A$9.50 from A$9.44, reflecting updated assumptions for fair value, discount rate and future P/E that are broadly consistent with recent adjustments seen across alternative asset managers. Analyst Commentary The recent tweak to Challenger's A$9.50 price target fits into a broader pattern that research desks have been applying across global alternative asset managers, including the Carlyle updates referenced here.
Narrative Update Mar 25

CGF: Capital Returns And Fee Margins Will Drive Future Repricing Potential

Analysts have adjusted Challenger's price target slightly lower to A$9.44, citing updated sector-wide assumptions on earnings flows, discount rates and future P/E multiples, while still reflecting the same fair value estimate in their models. Analyst Commentary Recent changes to Challenger's valuation echo broader adjustments seen across the alternative asset manager space, where analysts have been fine tuning targets in response to updated assumptions on earnings flows, discount rates and P/E multiples.

Recent updates

Narrative Update May 14

CGF: Capital Returns And P E Calibration Will Shape Future Repricing Outlook

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Challenger by A$0.09 to reflect slightly lower assumed discount rates and a modestly reduced future P/E multiple, while keeping fair value estimates broadly unchanged. Analyst Commentary Recent sector research on alternative asset managers has focused on resetting valuation assumptions, adjusting earnings expectations for fee based businesses and reassessing how much multiple investors may be willing to pay for forward earnings.
Narrative Update Apr 27

CGF: Capital Returns And Cost Discipline Will Support Future Repricing Outlook

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Challenger to A$9.38 from A$9.50, citing slightly softer assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples, while keeping the discount rate broadly unchanged. Analyst Commentary Recent research across the broader asset management sector shows a mix of optimism and caution on valuation, execution and growth, which offers useful context for Challenger investors assessing the latest price target trim.
Narrative Update Apr 09

CGF: Capital Returns And Cost Discipline Will Support Future Repricing Potential

Analysts have nudged their price target for Challenger slightly higher to A$9.50 from A$9.44, reflecting updated assumptions for fair value, discount rate and future P/E that are broadly consistent with recent adjustments seen across alternative asset managers. Analyst Commentary The recent tweak to Challenger's A$9.50 price target fits into a broader pattern that research desks have been applying across global alternative asset managers, including the Carlyle updates referenced here.
Narrative Update Mar 25

CGF: Capital Returns And Fee Margins Will Drive Future Repricing Potential

Analysts have adjusted Challenger's price target slightly lower to A$9.44, citing updated sector-wide assumptions on earnings flows, discount rates and future P/E multiples, while still reflecting the same fair value estimate in their models. Analyst Commentary Recent changes to Challenger's valuation echo broader adjustments seen across the alternative asset manager space, where analysts have been fine tuning targets in response to updated assumptions on earnings flows, discount rates and P/E multiples.
Narrative Update Mar 11

CGF: Capital Returns And Fee Margins Will Drive Forward Market Repricing

Analysts have trimmed their A$ price target on Challenger, citing slightly more cautious assumptions on discount rates, revenue trends and margins, while still applying a modestly higher future P/E multiple in line with recent sector research updates. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary on global alternative asset managers provides some context for how analysts are thinking about valuation, growth and execution risks that can be relevant when assessing Challenger.
Narrative Update Feb 23

CGF: Capital Returns And Margin Execution Will Shape Forward Market Sentiment

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Challenger to A$9.44 from A$9.63. This reflects slightly softer revenue growth expectations, a modestly lower discount rate, improved profit margin assumptions and a lower future P/E multiple.
Narrative Update Feb 09

CGF: Sector Sentiment And Fee-Based Opportunities Will Shape Forward Returns

Analysts have nudged up their price target on Challenger, citing slightly higher fair value estimates, a modestly higher discount rate, and a small adjustment to future P/E assumptions as the key drivers of the change. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts around the sector are using higher price targets and slightly richer P/E assumptions to signal confidence in execution and earnings quality for similar asset managers, and that tone is feeding into how some investors read the recent Challenger target move.
Narrative Update Jan 24

CGF: Sector Sentiment Swings And Credit Risks Will Shape Future Returns

Narrative Update on Challenger Analysts have nudged their price targets on Challenger slightly higher, reflecting a modest uplift in their fair value estimate to 9.58, a small change in the discount rate, and only marginal adjustments to revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around comparable alternative asset managers gives some useful context for how analysts are thinking about valuation, growth, and execution risk for names like Challenger.
Narrative Update Jan 06

CGF: Capital Markets Recovery And Credit Risks Will Shape Future Returns

Analysts have made a modest trim to their price target on Challenger to about A$9.47 from roughly A$9.47. This reflects slight adjustments to fair value, discount rate assumptions and expected P/E, while still seeing support from a recovering capital markets backdrop cited in recent research on alternative asset managers.
Narrative Update Dec 15

CGF: Capital Markets Rebound And Credit Concerns Will Shape Returns Ahead

Analysts have nudged their price target on Challenger modestly higher to reflect a slightly lower perceived risk profile and stable long term earnings multiples, even as they continue to factor in cautious assumptions around capital markets activity and muted near term returns across alternative asset managers. Analyst Commentary Recent sector research on alternative asset managers highlights a mixed but generally constructive backdrop that informs views on Challenger.
Narrative Update Nov 28

CGF: Capital Markets Activity And Credit Conditions Will Drive Sentiment This Year

Challenger's analyst price target has increased slightly, rising from $9.38 to $9.47. Analysts cite broader market stabilization and modest improvements in sector valuation expectations.
Narrative Update Nov 13

CGF: Capital Market Activity And Discount Rates Will Influence Market Sentiment This Year

Challenger's analyst price target has increased modestly, rising by $0.18 to $9.38. Analysts are factoring in stable revenue growth, a slightly improved discount rate, and supportive updates from recent sector research, despite ongoing concerns over valuations and expected returns.
Narrative Update Oct 30

CGF: Future Market Conditions Will Guide Earnings Momentum And Balance Near-Term Risks

Analysts have increased their price target for Challenger from $9.03 to $9.19 per share, citing expectations for improved capital markets conditions and positive momentum in fundamentals. This comes despite modest adjustments to revenue growth and profit margin forecasts.
Narrative Update Oct 16

APRA Reforms And Digital Integration Will Uplift Retirement Income Sectors

Challenger's analyst price target has been modestly increased to $9.03 from $8.83, as analysts cite improving fundamentals and expectations of stronger future performance. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research highlights a range of perspectives on Challenger's outlook, shedding light on both optimism and reservations among analysts.
Narrative Update Sep 04

APRA Reforms And Digital Integration Will Uplift Retirement Income Sectors

Despite improved business momentum, sector tailwinds, and greater earnings diversification supporting a positive outlook, the Challenger consensus Analyst Price Target remained unchanged at A$8.83. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite strong Q2 results and accelerating business momentum as key drivers for upward price target revisions.
Analysis Article Jul 24

Shareholders Should Be Pleased With Challenger Limited's (ASX:CGF) Price

When close to half the companies in Australia have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 18x, you may consider...
Analysis Article Mar 28

Challenger Limited's (ASX:CGF) Price In Tune With Earnings

When close to half the companies in Australia have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 17x, you may consider...
User avatar
New Narrative Feb 23

Focus On Longer-Duration Annuities And Technology Will Improve Future Efficiency

Strategic sales shift to longer-duration annuities boosts book quality, earnings, and ROE, with a focus on lifetime and Japanese annuities.
Analysis Article Dec 10

Earnings Tell The Story For Challenger Limited (ASX:CGF)

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 29.9x Challenger Limited ( ASX:CGF ) may be sending bearish signals at the...
Analysis Article Aug 16

Challenger's (ASX:CGF) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year

Challenger Limited's ( ASX:CGF ) dividend will be increasing from last year's payment of the same period to A$0.135 on...
Analysis Article Aug 14

Challenger Limited (ASX:CGF) Not Flying Under The Radar

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 36.7x Challenger Limited ( ASX:CGF ) may be sending very bearish signals...
Analysis Article Dec 19

Challenger Limited's (ASX:CGF) Earnings Are Not Doing Enough For Some Investors

When close to half the companies in Australia have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 19x, you may consider...
Analysis Article Aug 19

Challenger's (ASX:CGF) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year

Challenger Limited's ( ASX:CGF ) periodic dividend will be increasing on the 20th of September to A$0.12, with...

Shareholder Returns

CGFAU Diversified FinancialAU Market
7D1.7%0.7%0.08%
1Y25.5%14.0%3.1%

Return vs Industry: CGF exceeded the Australian Diversified Financial industry which returned 14% over the past year.

Return vs Market: CGF exceeded the Australian Market which returned 3.1% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is CGF's price volatile compared to industry and market?
CGF volatility
CGF Average Weekly Movement4.0%
Diversified Financial Industry Average Movement7.2%
Market Average Movement10.4%
10% most volatile stocks in AU Market17.6%
10% least volatile stocks in AU Market4.3%

Stable Share Price: CGF has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the Australian market.

Volatility Over Time: CGF's weekly volatility (4%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
n/a546Nick Hamiltonwww.challenger.com.au

Challenger Limited is a publicly owned investment manager. The company also provides retirement services to its clients. It manages equity mutual funds.

Challenger Limited Fundamentals Summary

How do Challenger's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
CGF fundamental statistics
Market capAU$6.49b
Earnings (TTM)AU$458.80m
Revenue (TTM)AU$2.80b
14.0x
P/E Ratio
2.3x
P/S Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
CGF income statement (TTM)
RevenueAU$2.80b
Cost of RevenueAU$915.60m
Gross ProfitAU$1.88b
Other ExpensesAU$1.43b
EarningsAU$458.80m

Last Reported Earnings

Dec 31, 2025

Next Earnings Date

Aug 18, 2026

Earnings per share (EPS)0.67
Gross Margin67.30%
Net Profit Margin16.39%
Debt/Equity Ratio194.9%

How did CGF perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

3.3%
Current Dividend Yield
46%
Payout Ratio

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/25 08:25
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/25 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Challenger Limited is covered by 24 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Benjamin BrayshawBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Andrew AdamsBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Marcus BarnardBell Potter