Stock Analysis

Does HUB24 (ASX:HUB) Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?

ASX:HUB
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The excitement of investing in a company that can reverse its fortunes is a big draw for some speculators, so even companies that have no revenue, no profit, and a record of falling short, can manage to find investors. But as Peter Lynch said in One Up On Wall Street, 'Long shots almost never pay off.' While a well funded company may sustain losses for years, it will need to generate a profit eventually, or else investors will move on and the company will wither away.

Despite being in the age of tech-stock blue-sky investing, many investors still adopt a more traditional strategy; buying shares in profitable companies like HUB24 (ASX:HUB). While profit isn't the sole metric that should be considered when investing, it's worth recognising businesses that can consistently produce it.

View our latest analysis for HUB24

HUB24's Earnings Per Share Are Growing

The market is a voting machine in the short term, but a weighing machine in the long term, so you'd expect share price to follow earnings per share (EPS) outcomes eventually. That makes EPS growth an attractive quality for any company. Impressively, HUB24 has grown EPS by 19% per year, compound, in the last three years. This has no doubt fuelled the optimism that sees the stock trading on a high multiple of earnings.

One way to double-check a company's growth is to look at how its revenue, and earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) margins are changing. It's noted that HUB24's revenue from operations was lower than its revenue in the last twelve months, so that could distort our analysis of its margins. EBIT margins for HUB24 remained fairly unchanged over the last year, however the company should be pleased to report its revenue growth for the period of 73% to AU$247m. That's encouraging news for the company!

You can take a look at the company's revenue and earnings growth trend, in the chart below. To see the actual numbers, click on the chart.

earnings-and-revenue-history
ASX:HUB Earnings and Revenue History June 15th 2023

In investing, as in life, the future matters more than the past. So why not check out this free interactive visualization of HUB24's forecast profits?

Are HUB24 Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

Investors are always searching for a vote of confidence in the companies they hold and insider buying is one of the key indicators for optimism on the market. This view is based on the possibility that stock purchases signal bullishness on behalf of the buyer. Of course, we can never be sure what insiders are thinking, we can only judge their actions.

Shareholders in HUB24 will be more than happy to see insiders committing themselves to the company, spending AU$383k on shares in just twelve months. And when you consider that there was no insider selling, you can understand why shareholders might believe that there are brighter days ahead. It is also worth noting that it was MD & Executive Director Andrew Alcock who made the biggest single purchase, worth AU$199k, paying AU$17.91 per share.

On top of the insider buying, it's good to see that HUB24 insiders have a valuable investment in the business. Holding AU$126m worth of stock in the company is no laughing matter and insiders will be committed in delivering the best outcomes for shareholders. This would indicate that the goals of shareholders and management are one and the same.

Should You Add HUB24 To Your Watchlist?

If you believe that share price follows earnings per share you should definitely be delving further into HUB24's strong EPS growth. On top of that, insiders own a significant stake in the company and have been buying more shares. These things considered, this is one stock worth watching. We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 1 warning sign for HUB24 that you need to be mindful of.

There are plenty of other companies that have insiders buying up shares. So if you like the sound of HUB24, you'll probably love this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if HUB24 might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.