GQG Partners (ASX:GQG): Assessing Valuation Following Increased Dividend and Upcoming Ex-Dividend Date

GQG Partners (ASX:GQG) caught investors’ attention this week after announcing an increased ordinary dividend for the September quarter, just ahead of its upcoming ex-dividend date scheduled for October 21, 2025.

See our latest analysis for GQG Partners.

Momentum around GQG Partners has been mixed, with the share price sliding over the past quarter but stabilizing lately following its dividend announcement. Its 1-year total shareholder return stands at -32.99%, while the longer-term three-year figure is still up 54.6%. This points to underlying resilience despite recent volatility.

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With the stock now trading at a sizable discount to analyst targets, but facing subdued earnings growth, the key question is whether GQG Partners is looking undervalued or if the market has already taken its growth prospects into account.

Most Popular Narrative: 18.3% Undervalued

According to Robbo, this narrative assigns a fair value for GQG Partners that sits well above the latest share price. This suggests there is more to this story than recent market trends imply.

GQG Partners is a funds management business that has recorded strong earnings growth over the past year, with EPS rising from US$0.095 to US$0.14. Since 2023 it has grown its funds under management from US$106 billion to US$143 billion. Return on equity sits near 80 per cent. Although listed on the ASX, the company is headquartered in Florida, USA. This international footprint is only part of what makes it an interesting company from an academic perspective.

Read the complete narrative.

Want to crack the code behind this high fair value? The secret isn’t just growth; it’s the numbers driving margins and future potential. Curious which assumptions push this stock’s value so far from the pack? Dive in to discover what powers this narrative.

Result: Fair Value of $1.94 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, concentrated leadership and ethical controversies remain significant risks. These factors could quickly shift sentiment and challenge the undervalued thesis around GQG Partners.

Find out about the key risks to this GQG Partners narrative.

Build Your Own GQG Partners Narrative

If you’d rather run the numbers yourself or have a different perspective, you can put together your own view in just a few minutes with our simple tools: Do it your way

A great starting point for your GQG Partners research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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