Stock Analysis

Upgrade: The Latest Revenue Forecasts For COG Financial Services Limited (ASX:COG)

ASX:COG
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COG Financial Services Limited (ASX:COG) shareholders will have a reason to smile today, with the covering analyst making substantial upgrades to this year's forecasts. The consensus estimated revenue numbers rose, with their view now clearly much more bullish on the company's business prospects.

Following the upgrade, the latest consensus from COG Financial Services' sole analyst is for revenues of AU$416m in 2024, which would reflect a decent 14% improvement in sales compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to shoot up 163% to AU$0.11. Prior to this update, the analyst had been forecasting revenues of AU$371m and earnings per share (EPS) of AU$0.11 in 2024. Sentiment certainly seems to have improved in recent times, with a nice gain to revenue and a small lift in earnings per share estimates.

Check out our latest analysis for COG Financial Services

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ASX:COG Earnings and Revenue Growth August 29th 2023

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. The period to the end of 2024 brings more of the same, according to the analyst, with revenue forecast to display 14% growth on an annualised basis. That is in line with its 14% annual growth over the past five years. Compare this with the broader industry, which analyst estimates (in aggregate) suggest will see revenues grow 2.8% annually. So it's pretty clear that COG Financial Services is forecast to grow substantially faster than its industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away from this upgrade is that the analyst upgraded their earnings per share estimates for this year, expecting improving business conditions. They also upgraded their revenue estimates for this year, and sales are expected to grow faster than the wider market. Seeing the dramatic upgrade to this year's forecasts, it might be time to take another look at COG Financial Services.

The covering analyst is definitely bullish on COG Financial Services, but no company is perfect. Indeed, you should know that there are several potential concerns to be aware of, including its declining profit margins. You can learn more, and discover the 3 other risks we've identified, for free on our platform here.

Another way to search for interesting companies that could be reaching an inflection point is to track whether management are buying or selling, with our free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether COG Financial Services is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.