Jumbo Interactive Limited

CHIA:JIN Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$842.6m

Jumbo Interactive Valuation

Is JIN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of JIN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: JIN (A$13.49) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$21.91)

Significantly Below Fair Value: JIN is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for JIN?

Key metric: As JIN is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for JIN. This is calculated by dividing JIN's market cap by their current earnings.
What is JIN's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio19.4x
EarningsAU$43.35m
Market CapAU$842.58m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does JIN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for JIN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average25.7x
AGI Ainsworth Game Technology
44.7x11.4%AU$240.8m
TLC Lottery
27.5x4.6%AU$11.4b
RCT Reef Casino Trust
12.7xn/aAU$68.0m
CKF Collins Foods
18x15.2%AU$994.4m
JIN Jumbo Interactive
19.4x7.4%AU$842.6m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: JIN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.4x) compared to the peer average (25.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does JIN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Oceanian Hospitality Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
JIN 19.4xIndustry Avg. 19.9xNo. of Companies4PE01224364860+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: JIN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.4x) compared to the Global Hospitality industry average (19.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is JIN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

JIN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio19.4x
Fair PE Ratio20.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: JIN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst JIN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$13.49
AU$14.84
+10.0%
11.1%AU$17.85AU$12.15n/a11
Nov ’25AU$13.07
AU$15.42
+18.0%
13.3%AU$19.50AU$13.00n/a10
Oct ’25AU$13.74
AU$15.21
+10.7%
12.7%AU$19.50AU$13.00n/a10
Sep ’25AU$13.82
AU$15.40
+11.5%
13.3%AU$19.50AU$13.00n/a10
Aug ’25AU$16.22
AU$16.37
+0.9%
13.4%AU$20.80AU$13.10n/a10
Jul ’25AU$17.47
AU$17.10
-2.1%
14.0%AU$20.80AU$13.10n/a8
Jun ’25AU$16.21
AU$17.06
+5.3%
14.0%AU$20.80AU$13.10n/a8
May ’25AU$15.69
AU$16.81
+7.1%
14.3%AU$20.80AU$13.10n/a8
Apr ’25AU$17.10
AU$16.81
-1.7%
14.3%AU$20.80AU$13.10n/a8
Mar ’25AU$17.89
AU$16.89
-5.6%
15.1%AU$20.80AU$13.10n/a7
Feb ’25AU$15.28
AU$15.80
+3.4%
12.5%AU$19.20AU$12.90n/a7
Jan ’25AU$13.96
AU$15.83
+13.4%
12.7%AU$19.20AU$12.90n/a7
Dec ’24AU$13.43
AU$15.90
+18.4%
12.7%AU$19.20AU$12.90n/a7
Nov ’24AU$13.75
AU$16.64
+21.0%
14.0%AU$21.00AU$12.90AU$13.077
Oct ’24AU$15.31
AU$17.20
+12.4%
10.2%AU$21.00AU$14.90AU$13.747
Sep ’24AU$15.49
AU$17.20
+11.0%
10.2%AU$21.00AU$14.90AU$13.827
Aug ’24AU$15.24
AU$17.10
+12.2%
9.6%AU$20.80AU$15.16AU$16.227
Jul ’24AU$14.31
AU$17.07
+19.3%
9.6%AU$20.80AU$15.16AU$17.477
Jun ’24AU$14.90
AU$16.95
+13.7%
9.3%AU$20.80AU$15.16AU$16.218
May ’24AU$13.14
AU$16.59
+26.3%
7.9%AU$19.30AU$14.49AU$15.698
Apr ’24AU$12.61
AU$16.62
+31.8%
8.5%AU$19.30AU$14.49AU$17.107
Mar ’24AU$13.75
AU$16.27
+18.3%
10.0%AU$19.30AU$13.80AU$17.898
Feb ’24AU$15.29
AU$16.29
+6.5%
10.3%AU$19.00AU$13.80AU$15.289
Jan ’24AU$14.09
AU$16.33
+15.9%
10.7%AU$19.00AU$13.80AU$13.969
Dec ’23AU$14.42
AU$16.39
+13.7%
10.8%AU$19.00AU$13.80AU$13.439
Nov ’23AU$13.78
AU$16.04
+16.4%
10.1%AU$18.05AU$13.80AU$13.758

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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