Jumbo Interactive Limited

CHIA:JIN Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$876.7m

Jumbo Interactive Valuation

Is JIN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of JIN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: JIN (A$13.98) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$21.81)

Significantly Below Fair Value: JIN is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for JIN?

Key metric: As JIN is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for JIN. This is calculated by dividing JIN's market cap by their current earnings.
What is JIN's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio20.2x
EarningsAU$43.35m
Market CapAU$876.73m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does JIN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for JIN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average26.4x
AGI Ainsworth Game Technology
49.3x11.4%AU$269.4m
TLC Lottery
27x4.4%AU$11.2b
RCT Reef Casino Trust
13.9xn/aAU$72.0m
CKF Collins Foods
15.6x14.5%AU$870.6m
JIN Jumbo Interactive
20.2x7.4%AU$876.7m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: JIN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.2x) compared to the peer average (26.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does JIN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Oceanian Hospitality Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
JIN 20.2xIndustry Avg. 20.7xNo. of Companies3PE01224364860+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: JIN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.2x) compared to the Global Hospitality industry average (20.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is JIN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

JIN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio20.2x
Fair PE Ratio20.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: JIN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst JIN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$13.98
AU$14.95
+6.9%
10.0%AU$17.85AU$13.10n/a11
Dec ’25AU$13.92
AU$14.95
+7.4%
10.0%AU$17.85AU$13.10n/a11
Nov ’25AU$13.07
AU$15.42
+18.0%
13.3%AU$19.50AU$13.00n/a10
Oct ’25AU$13.74
AU$15.21
+10.7%
12.7%AU$19.50AU$13.00n/a10
Sep ’25AU$13.82
AU$15.40
+11.5%
13.3%AU$19.50AU$13.00n/a10
Aug ’25AU$16.22
AU$16.37
+0.9%
13.4%AU$20.80AU$13.10n/a10
Jul ’25AU$17.47
AU$17.10
-2.1%
14.0%AU$20.80AU$13.10n/a8
Jun ’25AU$16.21
AU$17.06
+5.3%
14.0%AU$20.80AU$13.10n/a8
May ’25AU$15.69
AU$16.81
+7.1%
14.3%AU$20.80AU$13.10n/a8
Apr ’25AU$17.10
AU$16.81
-1.7%
14.3%AU$20.80AU$13.10n/a8
Mar ’25AU$17.89
AU$16.89
-5.6%
15.1%AU$20.80AU$13.10n/a7
Feb ’25AU$15.28
AU$15.80
+3.4%
12.5%AU$19.20AU$12.90n/a7
Jan ’25AU$13.96
AU$15.83
+13.4%
12.7%AU$19.20AU$12.90AU$14.007
Dec ’24AU$13.43
AU$15.90
+18.4%
12.7%AU$19.20AU$12.90AU$13.927
Nov ’24AU$13.75
AU$16.64
+21.0%
14.0%AU$21.00AU$12.90AU$13.077
Oct ’24AU$15.31
AU$17.20
+12.4%
10.2%AU$21.00AU$14.90AU$13.747
Sep ’24AU$15.49
AU$17.20
+11.0%
10.2%AU$21.00AU$14.90AU$13.827
Aug ’24AU$15.24
AU$17.10
+12.2%
9.6%AU$20.80AU$15.16AU$16.227
Jul ’24AU$14.31
AU$17.07
+19.3%
9.6%AU$20.80AU$15.16AU$17.477
Jun ’24AU$14.90
AU$16.95
+13.7%
9.3%AU$20.80AU$15.16AU$16.218
May ’24AU$13.14
AU$16.59
+26.3%
7.9%AU$19.30AU$14.49AU$15.698
Apr ’24AU$12.61
AU$16.62
+31.8%
8.5%AU$19.30AU$14.49AU$17.107
Mar ’24AU$13.75
AU$16.27
+18.3%
10.0%AU$19.30AU$13.80AU$17.898
Feb ’24AU$15.29
AU$16.29
+6.5%
10.3%AU$19.00AU$13.80AU$15.289
Jan ’24AU$14.09
AU$16.33
+15.9%
10.7%AU$19.00AU$13.80AU$13.969

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/04 06:20
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/03 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Jumbo Interactive Limited is covered by 20 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
David FabrisAPP Securities Pty Ltd.
Russell WrightBarclay Pearce Capital Pty Limited
Matthew RyanBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited