Reef Casino Trust Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of RCT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

RCT (A$2.68) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (A$7.04)

Is RCT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of RCT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: RCT (A$2.68) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$7.04)

Significantly Below Fair Value: RCT is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for RCT?

Key metric: As RCT is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for RCT. This is calculated by dividing RCT's market cap by their current earnings.
What is RCT's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	12.8x
Earnings	AU$5.20m
Market Cap	AU$66.98m

RCT key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	2.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	4.3x
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does RCT's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for RCT vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	22.1x
AGI Ainsworth Game Technology	45.3x	11.4%	AU$247.5m
DNA Donaco International	0.9x	n/a	AU$33.3m
JIN Jumbo Interactive	19.4x	7.4%	AU$842.7m
EBG Eumundi Group	22.8x	n/a	AU$82.6m
RCT Reef Casino Trust	12.8x	n/a	AU$66.7m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: RCT is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.8x) compared to the peer average (22.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does RCT's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Oceanian Hospitality Industry?

2 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap

2 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: RCT is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.8x) compared to the Global Hospitality industry average (19.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is RCT's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

RCT PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	12.8x
Fair PE Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate RCT's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.