The Lottery Corporation Limited

ASX:TLC Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$11.5b

Lottery Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Lottery is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 6.7% and 5.3% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 7.1% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 175.4% in 3 years.

Key information

6.7%

Earnings growth rate

7.08%

EPS growth rate

Hospitality earnings growth13.2%
Revenue growth rate5.3%
Future return on equity175.41%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated20 May 2026

Recent future growth updates

No updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update Feb 13

TLC: Leadership Transition And Earnings Assumptions Will Shape A Balanced Outlook

Analysts have nudged their price target on Lottery slightly higher to around A$5.63. This reflects updated views on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E after recent research updates.
Narrative Update Jan 29

TLC: Leadership Shift And Refined Assumptions Will Guide A Balanced Outlook

Analysts have slightly reduced their price target on Lottery, reflecting a modest adjustment to fair value and revenue growth assumptions, while still keeping their view consistent with recent research coverage updates on the stock. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Lottery highlights a mix of optimism and caution, with pricing updates reflecting changing views on how much investors are willing to pay for the company relative to its growth and execution track record.
Narrative Update Jan 15

TLC: Leadership Transition And Refined Assumptions Will Shape A Balanced Outlook

Analysts have nudged their price target on Lottery slightly lower to around $5.65 from about $5.75, citing incremental adjustments to fair value, discount rate, revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, along with a modestly higher future P/E multiple in their models. What's in the News Lottery appointed Mr. Wayne Pickup as Chief Executive Officer and observer to the Board, with a plan for him to become a director and Managing Director once administrative steps are completed (company announcement).
Analysis Article Dec 08

The Lottery Corporation Limited's (ASX:TLC) Business Is Yet to Catch Up With Its Share Price

When close to half the companies in Australia have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 21x, you may consider...
Analysis Article Nov 03

Are The Lottery Corporation Limited (ASX:TLC) Investors Paying Above The Intrinsic Value?

Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Lottery fair value estimate is AU$4.03 Current share price of...
Narrative Update Aug 27

Digital Adoption Will Modernize Lottery Customer Engagement

The consensus price target for Lottery has been modestly increased to A$5.75, as a higher future P/E multiple more than offset slightly lower revenue growth forecasts. What's in the News The Lottery Corporation Limited announced a fully franked ordinary dividend of AUD 0.085 per share for the six months ended June 30, 2025.
Analysis Article Aug 19

The Lottery Corporation Limited's (ASX:TLC) Business Is Yet to Catch Up With Its Share Price

ASX:TLC 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Lottery's Fair Values from the Community and select yours With a...
Analysis Article Jul 30

Should You Be Adding Lottery (ASX:TLC) To Your Watchlist Today?

For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to...
Analysis Article Jul 11

Returns On Capital Are A Standout For Lottery (ASX:TLC)

If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an...
User avatar
New Narrative Feb 09

Acceleration Of Powerball Jackpots Will Attract More Customers

Digital expansion and customer-centric initiatives, like game innovation, are driving revenue growth by attracting younger demographics and enhancing engagement.

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

ASX:TLC - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (AUD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
6/30/20284,35141152159013
6/30/20274,189393-6658315
6/30/20263,80636737948515
12/31/20253,788363529617N/A
9/30/20253,770364499579N/A
6/30/20253,753366470542N/A
3/31/20253,823369351420N/A
12/31/20243,893372231298N/A
9/30/20243,946393328395N/A
6/30/20243,998414424493N/A
3/31/20243,739362366444N/A
12/31/20233,481309309395N/A
9/30/20233,497287343426N/A
6/30/20233,514265377457N/A
3/31/20233,524293486545N/A
12/31/20223,535321596633N/A
9/30/20223,407334598629N/A
6/30/20223,279347600624N/A
3/31/20223,143307N/AN/AN/A
12/31/20213,007267N/AN/AN/A
9/30/20212,979333N/AN/AN/A
6/30/20212,951399288309N/A
6/30/20202,920450N/AN/AN/A
6/30/20192,868430N/AN/AN/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: TLC's forecast earnings growth (6.7% per year) is above the savings rate (3.6%).

Earnings vs Market: TLC's earnings (6.7% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the Australian market (11.9% per year).

High Growth Earnings: TLC's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: TLC's revenue (5.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the Australian market (6.1% per year).

High Growth Revenue: TLC's revenue (5.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: TLC's Return on Equity is forecast to be very high in 3 years time (175.4%).


Discover growth companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/21 08:52
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/21 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

The Lottery Corporation Limited is covered by 24 analysts. 15 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Matthew RyanBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Nicholas McGarrigleBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Ware KuoBofA Global Research