The Star Entertainment Group Limited

ASX:SGR Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$643.7m

Star Entertainment Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

Star Entertainment Group is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 67.5% and 1.7% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 85.5% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be -20.9% in 3 years.

Key information

67.5%

Earnings growth rate

85.51%

EPS growth rate

Hospitality earnings growth13.9%
Revenue growth rate1.7%
Future return on equity-20.87%
Analyst coverage

Low

Last updated02 Mar 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update Feb 20

SGR: Leadership Reset And Lower Multiple Will Shape Future Fair Value

Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Star Entertainment Group from A$0.16 to A$0.12. This change reflects updated views on revenue growth, profit margins and a lower future P/E multiple.
Analysis Article Feb 13

The Star Entertainment Group Limited's (ASX:SGR) 26% Dip In Price Shows Sentiment Is Matching Revenues

The Star Entertainment Group Limited ( ASX:SGR ) shares have retraced a considerable 26% in the last month, reversing a...
Narrative Update Feb 05

SGR: Leadership Changes Will Support Fair Value Despite Higher Risk Profile

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Star Entertainment Group, keeping fair value at A$0.16 while adjusting their assumptions for discount rate, profit margin and future P/E to reflect what they see as a slightly higher risk profile and softer profitability ahead. What's in the News Bruce Mathieson Jnr has been appointed Group Chief Executive Officer of Star Entertainment Group on an ongoing basis, subject to final documentation and outstanding regulatory and ministerial approvals in New South Wales and Queensland (Key Developments).
Narrative Update Jan 22

SGR: Leadership Turnover And Governance Uncertainty Will Constrain Future Earnings Multiples

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Star Entertainment Group from A$0.09 to A$0.12 per share. They cited an updated assessment that a lower discount rate and slightly revised expectations for revenue trends, profit margins and future P/E ratios now better reflect the group’s risk profile and earnings outlook.
Narrative Update Jan 08

SGR: Leadership Changes And Lower Discount Rate Will Shape Fair Outlook

Analysts have lifted their price target for Star Entertainment Group to A$0.16 from about A$0.14, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, profit margins, and future P/E multiples as key drivers of the change. What's in the News Bruce Mathieson Jnr has been appointed Group Chief Executive Officer of Star Entertainment Group, with the role subject to final documentation and regulatory and ministerial approvals in New South Wales and Queensland (Key Developments).
Analysis Article Dec 30

Improved Revenues Required Before The Star Entertainment Group Limited (ASX:SGR) Stock's 52% Jump Looks Justified

The Star Entertainment Group Limited ( ASX:SGR ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 52% gain in the...
Analysis Article Sep 04

The Star Entertainment Group Limited (ASX:SGR) Held Back By Insufficient Growth Even After Shares Climb 28%

Those holding The Star Entertainment Group Limited ( ASX:SGR ) shares would be relieved that the share price has...
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New Narrative Apr 20

A $300 Million Investment Will Secure Gold Coast Consolidation

Strategic investments and asset consolidation are expected to enhance liquidity, integrated offerings, and profitability through increased revenues and stable operations.
Analysis Article Feb 24

The Star Entertainment Group Limited (ASX:SGR) Shares Fly 26% But Investors Aren't Buying For Growth

The Star Entertainment Group Limited ( ASX:SGR ) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has...
Analysis Article Jan 09

The Star Entertainment Group Limited's (ASX:SGR) 28% Dip In Price Shows Sentiment Is Matching Revenues

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the The Star Entertainment Group Limited ( ASX:SGR ) share price has dived 28% in...
Analysis Article Nov 16

The Star Entertainment Group Limited's (ASX:SGR) 28% Dip In Price Shows Sentiment Is Matching Revenues

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the The Star Entertainment Group Limited ( ASX:SGR ) share price has dived 28% in...
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New Narrative Oct 14

SGR Turn around or take over?

The company will remediate their issues with the government and get their casino licence back, however, this is likely to take many years.
Analysis Article Sep 28

The Market Doesn't Like What It Sees From The Star Entertainment Group Limited's (ASX:SGR) Revenues Yet As Shares Tumble 46%

The The Star Entertainment Group Limited ( ASX:SGR ) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by...
Analysis Article Aug 09

The Star Entertainment Group Limited's (ASX:SGR) Shares Lagging The Industry But So Is The Business

When you see that almost half of the companies in the Hospitality industry in Australia have price-to-sales ratios (or...
Analysis Article Apr 29

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By The Star Entertainment Group Limited's (ASX:SGR) 28% Share Price Plunge

The Star Entertainment Group Limited ( ASX:SGR ) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a...
Analysis Article Apr 16

Star Entertainment Group (ASX:SGR) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...
Analysis Article Apr 01

A Look At The Fair Value Of The Star Entertainment Group Limited (ASX:SGR)

Key Insights Star Entertainment Group's estimated fair value is AU$0.66 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity...
Analysis Article Mar 16

At AU$0.51, Is It Time To Put The Star Entertainment Group Limited (ASX:SGR) On Your Watch List?

The Star Entertainment Group Limited ( ASX:SGR ), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a decent share price...
Analysis Article Feb 12

The Star Entertainment Group Limited's (ASX:SGR) Revenues Are Not Doing Enough For Some Investors

When close to half the companies operating in the Hospitality industry in Australia have price-to-sales ratios (or...
Analysis Article Oct 20

Is There An Opportunity With The Star Entertainment Group Limited's (ASX:SGR) 49% Undervaluation?

Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Star Entertainment Group fair value estimate is AU$1.19 Star...
Analysis Article Aug 30

The Star Entertainment Group Limited (ASX:SGR) Yearly Results: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For This Year

Investors in The Star Entertainment Group Limited ( ASX:SGR ) had a good week, as its shares rose 4.1% to close at...

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

ASX:SGR - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (AUD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
6/30/20281,334-17-7461
6/30/20271,265-85-72-211
6/30/20261,166-150-249-2021
12/31/20251,333-236-202-154N/A
9/30/20251,348-332-208-149N/A
6/30/20251,362-428-213-144N/A
3/31/20251,449-1,212-174-96N/A
12/31/20241,536-1,996-135-48N/A
9/30/20241,607-1,840-82-1N/A
6/30/20241,678-1,685-3046N/A
3/31/20241,699-1,423-92-7N/A
12/31/20231,720-1,162-154-61N/A
9/30/20231,794-1,799-123-8N/A
6/30/20231,868-2,435-9144N/A
3/31/20231,915-1,91443187N/A
12/31/20221,963-1,392177330N/A
9/30/20221,745-797105253N/A
6/30/20221,527-20233176N/A
3/31/20221,454-13448179N/A
12/31/20211,381-6664181N/A
9/30/20211,463-4213323N/A
6/30/20211,54558362465N/A
3/31/20211,360-32244360N/A
12/31/20201,175-122126256N/A
9/30/20201,331-10812195N/A
6/30/20201,487-95-102135N/A
3/31/20201,77416-42232N/A
12/31/20192,06212619330N/A
9/30/20192,110162N/A370N/A
6/30/20192,158198N/A411N/A
3/31/20192,196231N/A430N/A
12/31/20182,233264N/A449N/A
9/30/20182,158206N/A423N/A
6/30/20182,084148N/A397N/A
3/31/20182,124152N/A417N/A
12/31/20172,163156N/A437N/A
9/30/20172,254210N/A455N/A
6/30/20172,344264N/A473N/A
3/31/20172,371270N/A477N/A
12/31/20162,397276N/A480N/A
9/30/20162,333235N/A429N/A
6/30/20162,268194N/A378N/A
3/31/20162,187163N/A373N/A
12/31/20152,106133N/A368N/A
9/30/20152,123151N/A427N/A
6/30/20152,140169N/A486N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: SGR is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

Earnings vs Market: SGR is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

High Growth Earnings: SGR is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: SGR's revenue (1.7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the Australian market (6.2% per year).

High Growth Revenue: SGR's revenue (1.7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: SGR is forecast to be unprofitable in 3 years.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/06 16:44
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/05 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

The Star Entertainment Group Limited is covered by 13 analysts. 1 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Lafitani SotiriouBell Potter
Melinda BaxterBofA Global Research
Julian GuidoCGS International