Stock Analysis

PointsBet Holdings Limited (ASX:PBH) Stock's 38% Dive Might Signal An Opportunity But It Requires Some Scrutiny

ASX:PBH
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The PointsBet Holdings Limited (ASX:PBH) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 38%. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 63% share price decline.

Although its price has dipped substantially, it's still not a stretch to say that PointsBet Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.7x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Hospitality industry in Australia, where the median P/S ratio is around 1.2x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

View our latest analysis for PointsBet Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:PBH Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 27th 2024

What Does PointsBet Holdings' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

PointsBet Holdings certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to wane, which has kept the P/S ratio from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on PointsBet Holdings.

How Is PointsBet Holdings' Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like PointsBet Holdings' is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 43% gain to the company's top line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 84% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the six analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 17% over the next year. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 9.0% growth forecast for the broader industry.

In light of this, it's curious that PointsBet Holdings' P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.

The Key Takeaway

PointsBet Holdings' plummeting stock price has brought its P/S back to a similar region as the rest of the industry. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Despite enticing revenue growth figures that outpace the industry, PointsBet Holdings' P/S isn't quite what we'd expect. When we see a strong revenue outlook, with growth outpacing the industry, we can only assume potential uncertainty around these figures are what might be placing slight pressure on the P/S ratio. However, if you agree with the analysts' forecasts, you may be able to pick up the stock at an attractive price.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - PointsBet Holdings has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether PointsBet Holdings is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.