New Risk • Mar 05
New minor risk - Earnings quality The company has large one-off items impacting its financial results. One-off items were 64% of the size of the rest of the company's trailing 12-month earnings before tax. This is considered a minor risk. One-off items are incomes or expenses that the company does not expect to repeat in future periods. Examples include profits from the sale of a business or expenses from a restructuring or legal settlements. If the company's reported statutory earnings include a large proportion of one-off items it means they may be an unreliable indicator of its true business performance as the earnings were skewed by these incomes or expenses. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 4.8% per year for the foreseeable future. Minor Risks Dividend is not well covered by cash flows (226% cash payout ratio). Large one-off items impacting financial results. Board Change • Mar 01
Insufficient new directors No new directors have joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: No new directors. 3 experienced directors. 3 highly experienced directors. Independent Non-Executive Director Leanne Coddington was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2023. The company’s insufficient board refreshment is considered a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model. Declared Dividend • Feb 28
First half dividend reduced to AU$0.05 Dividend of AU$0.05 is 38% lower than last year. Ex-date: 2nd March 2026 Payment date: 17th March 2026 Dividend yield will be 6.1%, which is higher than the industry average of 1.8%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is covered by earnings (20% earnings payout ratio) but not covered by cash flows (226% cash payout ratio). The dividend has increased by an average of 21% per year over the past 10 years. However, payments have been volatile during that time. EPS is expected to decline by 13% over the next 3 years. However, it would need to fall by 78% to increase the payout ratio to a potentially unsustainable range. Reported Earnings • Feb 26
First half 2026 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.19 (vs AU$0.071 in 1H 2025) First half 2026 results: EPS: AU$0.19 (up from AU$0.071 in 1H 2025). Revenue: AU$108.6m (up 8.6% from 1H 2025). Net income: AU$31.1m (up 170% from 1H 2025). Profit margin: 29% (up from 12% in 1H 2025). The increase in margin was primarily driven by lower expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 6.4% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 5.4% growth forecast for the Hospitality industry in Australia. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 42% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 8% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings. Major Estimate Revision • Feb 26
Consensus EPS estimates increase by 21% The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2026 has improved. 2026 revenue forecast increased from AU$217.0m to AU$219.2m. EPS estimate increased from AU$0.215 to AU$0.261 per share. Net income forecast to grow 29% next year vs 56% growth forecast for Hospitality industry in Australia. Consensus price target down from AU$2.51 to AU$2.39. Share price fell 4.8% to AU$1.79 over the past week. Announcement • Feb 26
Helloworld Travel Limited Announces Fully Franked Ordinary Dividend for the Six Months Period Ended December 31, 2025, Payable on March 17, 2026 Helloworld Travel Limited announced the ordinary dividend of AUD 0.05000000 per share for the six months period ended December 31, 2025, payable on March 17, 2026. Ex date is on March 02, 2026 with Record date is on March 03, 2026. Is the ordinary dividend/distribution fully franked: Yes. Announcement • Feb 25
Helloworld Travel Limited (ASX:HLO) acquired Gilpin Corporate Travel. Helloworld Travel Limited (ASX:HLO) acquired Gilpin Corporate Travel on October 11, 2025.
Helloworld Travel Limited (ASX:HLO) completed the acquisition of Gilpin Corporate Travel on October 11, 2025. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Feb 24
Now 20% undervalued Over the last 90 days, the stock has risen 1.7% to AU$1.80. The fair value is estimated to be AU$2.25, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 29% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company has become profitable. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 5.0% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 5.7% per annum over the same time period. Announcement • Feb 18
Helloworld Travel Limited to Report First Half, 2026 Results on Feb 25, 2026 Helloworld Travel Limited announced that they will report first half, 2026 results on Feb 25, 2026 Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Jan 19
Now 21% undervalued Over the last 90 days, the stock has risen 5.8% to AU$1.83. The fair value is estimated to be AU$2.32, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 29% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company has become profitable. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 5.0% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 5.7% per annum over the same time period. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Dec 29
Now 20% undervalued Over the last 90 days, the stock has risen 6.4% to AU$1.83. The fair value is estimated to be AU$2.29, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 29% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company has become profitable. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 5.0% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 5.7% per annum over the same time period. Price Target Changed • Oct 28
Price target increased by 8.1% to AU$2.49 Up from AU$2.30, the current price target is an average from 5 analysts. New target price is 31% above last closing price of AU$1.90. Stock is up 7.1% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of AU$0.21 for next year compared to AU$0.21 last year. Major Estimate Revision • Oct 28
Consensus EPS estimates increase by 16% The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2026 has improved. 2026 revenue forecast increased from AU$198.7m to AU$217.0m. EPS estimate increased from AU$0.185 to AU$0.215 per share. Net income forecast to grow 4.4% next year vs 39% growth forecast for Hospitality industry in Australia. Consensus price target up from AU$2.30 to AU$2.49. Share price rose 9.5% to AU$1.90 over the past week. Announcement • Oct 21
Helloworld Travel Limited (ASX:HLO) acquired remaining 50% stake in Mobile Travel Holdings Pty Ltd. for AUD 36 million. Helloworld Travel Limited (ASX:HLO) acquired remaining 50% stake in Mobile Travel Holdings Pty Ltd. for AUD 36 million on October 21, 2025. Lesley Owen was appointed as Group General Manager of MTA. Sara and Ben Merricks will remain with the business, and Don Beattie will stay on in an advisory capacity.
Helloworld Travel Limited (ASX:HLO) completed the acquisition of remaining 50% stake in Mobile Travel Holdings Pty Ltd. on October 21, 2025. Announcement • Sep 01
Helloworld Travel Limited, Annual General Meeting, Oct 23, 2025 Helloworld Travel Limited, Annual General Meeting, Oct 23, 2025. Declared Dividend • Aug 28
Final dividend of AU$0.06 announced Shareholders will receive a dividend of AU$0.06. Ex-date: 1st September 2025 Payment date: 16th September 2025 Dividend yield will be 7.5%, which is higher than the industry average of 1.8%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is covered by earnings (67% earnings payout ratio) but the company has no free cash flows available, indicating it may be using cash reserves or debt to pay the dividend. The dividend has increased by an average of 24% per year over the past 9 years. However, payments have been volatile during that time. EPS is expected to remain steady over the next 3 years, which should provide adequate earnings cover for the dividend. Reported Earnings • Aug 26
Full year 2025 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behind Full year 2025 results: EPS: AU$0.21 (up from AU$0.19 in FY 2024). Revenue: AU$192.8m (down 11% from FY 2024). Net income: AU$34.0m (up 11% from FY 2024). Profit margin: 18% (up from 14% in FY 2024). The increase in margin was driven by lower expenses. Revenue missed analyst estimates by 4.4%. Earnings per share (EPS) exceeded analyst estimates by 37%. Revenue is forecast to grow 3.8% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 4.6% growth forecast for the Hospitality industry in Australia. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 78% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 5% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings. Announcement • Aug 21
Helloworld Travel Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2025 Results on Aug 26, 2025 Helloworld Travel Limited announced that they will report fiscal year 2025 results on Aug 26, 2025 Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jul 28
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16% After last week's 16% share price gain to AU$1.70, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 10x. Average forward P/E is 19x in the Hospitality industry in Australia. Total returns to shareholders of 8.6% over the past three years. Price Target Changed • Jul 16
Price target decreased by 9.0% to AU$2.22 Down from AU$2.44, the current price target is an average from 5 analysts. New target price is 45% above last closing price of AU$1.54. Stock is down 38% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of AU$0.14 for next year compared to AU$0.19 last year. Recent Insider Transactions • May 31
CEO, MD & Director recently bought AU$74k worth of stock On the 27th of May, Andrew Burnes bought around 50k shares on-market at roughly AU$1.49 per share. This transaction amounted to less than 1% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. In the last 3 months, there was an even bigger purchase from another insider worth AU$516k. Andrew has been a buyer over the last 12 months, purchasing a net total of AU$460k worth in shares. Announcement • May 20
BGH, Helloworld Reportedly to Team Up on Webjet Speculation is mounting the end game for Webjet Group Limited (ASX:WJL) is that the Andrew Burnes-led Helloworld Travel Limited (ASX:HLO) and BGH Capital ultimately join forces to see the two travel companies combine and potentially get taken private. Helloworld on 16 May 2025 was in the market buying more shares in its listed travel rival, Webjet Group, at 89c each, and is understood to have secured a stake of close to 10%. BGH, together with Gary Weiss and his business interests, have collected a 10.76% holding and have put forward an 80c-a-share takeover bid that the UBS-advised company rejected. Sources said that Mr. Burnes had a brief and informal telephone conversation with Webjet about a possible deal in recent days, but was swiftly rebuffed. However, well-connected sources said that Mr. Burnes, who is Helloworld's managing director and a former treasurer of the Liberal Party, had strong Melbourne-based business relationships - and given that was where BGH was based, a deal involving both parties in which Helloworld and Webjet Group came together, made sense. Private equity firm BGH Capital is run by ex-TPG Capital operatives Ben Gray and Simon Harle, and ex-Macquarie Capital boss Robin Bishop. If Helloworld is working in concert with BGH, under ASX rules the parties would have to declare the relationship as they would collectively own more than 20%. Market experts say that Helloworld would likely see benefits for its travel agencies owning Webjet Group, providing an online booking platform, yet it may not be in a position to afford a buyout proposal. Eventually, it has emerged that the two groups are working together. Helloworld's market value is $256 million and Webjet's about $350 million. Webjet Group, which was split from its corporate business, now WEB Travel Group, faces industry headwinds in that it charges customers a fee for online consumer travel bookings. Airlines like Qantas and Jetstar don't, which makes using the websites of the airlines cheaper. Compounding this is that the big level of consumer spending following the global pandemic has eased as the higher cost of living takes its toll. BGH, advised by Macquarie Capital, had earlier said the transaction structure for its proposal, which valued the company at $314 million, was still under consideration. However, it intended to seek a controlling interest in the company and was open to some shareholders retaining an ongoing equity interest, with the potential for ongoing access to liquidity by retaining the company's public listing, subject to appropriate tax and legal considerations. Webjet recently laid out its five-year growth plan, and intends to double total transaction value by the 2030 financial year to at least $3.2 billion. Price Target Changed • May 12
Price target decreased by 7.7% to AU$2.25 Down from AU$2.44, the current price target is an average from 5 analysts. New target price is 42% above last closing price of AU$1.58. Stock is down 35% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of AU$0.15 for next year compared to AU$0.19 last year. Announcement • Apr 10
Helloworld Travel Limited (ASX:HLO) agreed to acquire Barlow Travel Group Ltd. from Peter Barlow and Ross Jamieson. Helloworld Travel Limited (ASX:HLO) agreed to acquire Barlow Travel Group Ltd. from Peter Barlow and Ross Jamieson on April 10, 2025. The consideration for the transaction will be funded from existing cash reserves of Helloworld Travel Limited.
The expected completion of the transaction is in the middle of April 2025. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Mar 17
Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 15% After last week's 15% share price decline to AU$1.48, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 8x. Average forward P/E is 17x in the Hospitality industry in Australia. Total loss to shareholders of 26% over the past three years. Recent Insider Transactions • Mar 08
COO & Executive Director recently bought AU$516k worth of stock On the 5th of March, Cinzia Burnes bought around 300k shares on-market at roughly AU$1.72 per share. This transaction amounted to 3.0% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest purchase by an insider in the last 3 months. This was Cinzia's only on-market trade for the last 12 months. Reported Earnings • Mar 02
First half 2025 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.071 (vs AU$0.10 in 1H 2024) First half 2025 results: EPS: AU$0.071 (down from AU$0.10 in 1H 2024). Revenue: AU$100.0m (down 7.5% from 1H 2024). Net income: AU$10.8m (down 32% from 1H 2024). Profit margin: 11% (down from 15% in 1H 2024). The decrease in margin was driven by lower revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 3.0% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 5.2% growth forecast for the Hospitality industry in Australia. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 96% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 8% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings. Declared Dividend • Feb 28
Final dividend of AU$0.08 announced Shareholders will receive a dividend of AU$0.08. Ex-date: 11th March 2025 Payment date: 26th March 2025 Dividend yield will be 8.3%, which is higher than the industry average of 1.8%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is covered by both earnings (57% earnings payout ratio) and cash flows (30% cash payout ratio). The dividend has increased by an average of 21% per year over the past 9 years. However, payments have been volatile during that time. EPS is expected to grow by 13% over the next 3 years, which should provide support to the dividend and adequate earnings cover. Price Target Changed • Feb 27
Price target decreased by 9.0% to AU$2.63 Down from AU$2.89, the current price target is an average from 5 analysts. New target price is 55% above last closing price of AU$1.70. Stock is down 39% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of AU$0.16 for next year compared to AU$0.19 last year. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Feb 26
Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 19% After last week's 19% share price decline to AU$1.66, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 8x. Average forward P/E is 18x in the Hospitality industry in Australia. Total loss to shareholders of 13% over the past three years. New Risk • Nov 05
New minor risk - Shareholder dilution The company's shareholders have been diluted in the past year. Increase in shares outstanding: 2.3% This is considered a minor risk. Shareholder dilution occurs when there is an increase in the number of shares on issue that is not proportionally distributed between all shareholders. Often due to the company raising equity capital or some options being converted into stock. All else being equal, if there are more shares outstanding then each existing share will be entitled to a lower proportion of the company's total earnings, thus reducing earnings per share (EPS). While dilution might not always result in lower EPS (like if the company is using the capital to fund an EPS accretive acquisition) in a lot cases it does, along with lower dividends per share and less voting power at shareholder meetings. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks Unstable dividend paying track record with dividend experiencing an annual drop of over 20% in the past. Shareholders have been diluted in the past year (2.3% increase in shares outstanding). Recent Insider Transactions • Sep 22
CEO, MD & Director recently bought AU$186k worth of stock On the 18th of September, Andrew Burnes bought around 100k shares on-market at roughly AU$1.86 per share. This transaction amounted to less than 1% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest purchase by an insider in the last 3 months. Andrew has been a buyer over the last 12 months, purchasing a net total of AU$386k worth in shares. Recent Insider Transactions • Sep 06
CEO, MD & Director recently bought AU$99k worth of stock On the 30th of August, Andrew Burnes bought around 50k shares on-market at roughly AU$1.97 per share. This transaction amounted to less than 1% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest purchase by an insider in the last 3 months. This was Andrew's only on-market trade for the last 12 months. Major Estimate Revision • Sep 02
Consensus EPS estimates fall by 19% The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2025 has deteriorated. 2025 revenue forecast decreased from AU$259.8m to AU$239.4m. EPS estimate also fell from AU$0.267 per share to AU$0.217 per share. Net income forecast to grow 18% next year vs 77% growth forecast for Hospitality industry in Australia. Consensus price target down from AU$3.51 to AU$2.97. Share price fell 14% to AU$1.98 over the past week. Announcement • Aug 30
Helloworld Travel Limited, Annual General Meeting, Oct 25, 2024 Helloworld Travel Limited, Annual General Meeting, Oct 25, 2024. Declared Dividend • Aug 29
Final dividend of AU$0.06 announced Shareholders will receive a dividend of AU$0.06. Ex-date: 5th September 2024 Payment date: 19th September 2024 Dividend yield will be 5.8%, which is higher than the industry average of 1.8%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is covered by both earnings (51% earnings payout ratio) and cash flows (29% cash payout ratio). The dividend has increased by an average of 24% per year over the past 8 years. However, payments have been volatile during that time. EPS is expected to grow by 26% over the next 3 years, which should provide support to the dividend and adequate earnings cover. Reported Earnings • Aug 28
Full year 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations Full year 2024 results: EPS: AU$0.19 (up from AU$0.12 in FY 2023). Revenue: AU$228.2m (up 42% from FY 2023). Net income: AU$30.6m (up 59% from FY 2023). Profit margin: 13% (up from 12% in FY 2023). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue missed analyst estimates by 1.9%. Earnings per share (EPS) also missed analyst estimates by 11%. Revenue is forecast to grow 4.9% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 6.3% growth forecast for the Hospitality industry in Australia. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 103% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 2% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth. Announcement • Aug 19
Helloworld Travel Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2024 Results on Aug 27, 2024 Helloworld Travel Limited announced that they will report fiscal year 2024 results on Aug 27, 2024 Upcoming Dividend • Feb 29
Upcoming dividend of AU$0.05 per share Eligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 07 March 2024. Payment date: 22 March 2024. Payout ratio is a comfortable 51% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 4.0%. Lower than top quartile of Australian dividend payers (6.4%). Higher than average of industry peers (1.8%). Declared Dividend • Feb 23
First half dividend of AU$0.05 announced Shareholders will receive a dividend of AU$0.05. Ex-date: 7th March 2024 Payment date: 22nd March 2024 Dividend yield will be 3.8%, which is higher than the industry average of 1.8%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is covered by both earnings (51% earnings payout ratio) and cash flows (23% cash payout ratio). The dividend has decreased over the past 10 years, indicating a lack of growth and stability in payments. EPS is expected to grow by 43% over the next 3 years, which should provide support to the dividend and adequate earnings cover. Reported Earnings • Feb 21
First half 2024 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.10 (vs AU$0.009 in 1H 2023) First half 2024 results: EPS: AU$0.10 (up from AU$0.009 in 1H 2023). Revenue: AU$112.3m (up 57% from 1H 2023). Net income: AU$16.0m (up AU$14.7m from 1H 2023). Profit margin: 14% (up from 1.9% in 1H 2023). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 13% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 6.7% growth forecast for the Hospitality industry in Australia. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 100% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 7% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth. Announcement • Jan 23
Helloworld Travel Limited Announces the Resignation of Peter Crinis as Chief Commercial Officer Helloworld Travel Limited announced that Peter Crinis, Chief Commercial Officer will depart the business at the end of this week. Mr. Crinis joined the Company in July 2023, focussing on retail agency networks and other outcomes in the business. Recent Insider Transactions • Nov 04
Independent Non-Executive Director recently bought AU$104k worth of stock On the 1st of November, Leanne Coddington bought around 45k shares on-market at roughly AU$2.32 per share. This trade did not impact their existing holding. This was the largest purchase by an insider in the last 3 months. Insiders have collectively bought AU$113k more in shares than they have sold in the last 12 months. Price Target Changed • Nov 01
Price target increased by 11% to AU$3.80 Up from AU$3.42, the current price target is an average from 5 analysts. New target price is 56% above last closing price of AU$2.44. Stock is up 24% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of AU$0.21 for next year compared to AU$0.12 last year. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Oct 24
Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 19% After last week's 19% share price decline to AU$2.20, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 10x. Average forward P/E is 20x in the Hospitality industry in Australia. Total returns to shareholders of 29% over the past three years. Buying Opportunity • Sep 05
Now 21% undervalued Over the last 90 days, the stock is up 5.5%. The fair value is estimated to be AU$3.89, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has declined by 24% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company has become profitable. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 18% per annum. Earnings is also forecast to grow by 25% per annum over the same time period. Announcement • Aug 31
Helloworld Travel Limited, Annual General Meeting, Oct 25, 2023 Helloworld Travel Limited, Annual General Meeting, Oct 25, 2023, at 10:00 AUS Eastern Standard Time. Agenda: To consider the election of director. Upcoming Dividend • Aug 31
Upcoming dividend of AU$0.06 per share at 2.5% yield Eligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 07 September 2023. Payment date: 22 September 2023. Payout ratio is a comfortable 65% and the cash payout ratio is 79%. Trailing yield: 2.5%. Lower than top quartile of Australian dividend payers (7.0%). Higher than average of industry peers (1.8%). Reported Earnings • Aug 29
Full year 2023 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behind Full year 2023 results: EPS: AU$0.12 (up from AU$0.18 loss in FY 2022). Revenue: AU$165.9m (up 161% from FY 2022). Net income: AU$19.2m (up AU$47.3m from FY 2022). Profit margin: 12% (up from net loss in FY 2022). The move to profitability was driven by higher revenue. Revenue missed analyst estimates by 4.5%. Earnings per share (EPS) exceeded analyst estimates by 34%. Revenue is forecast to grow 17% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 8.2% growth forecast for the Hospitality industry in Australia. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 75% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 19% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth. Announcement • Aug 28
Helloworld Travel Limited Announces Ordinary Dividend for the Period of Twelve Months Ended June 30, 2023, Payable on September 22, 2023 Helloworld Travel Limited announced ordinary dividend of AUD 0.06000000 for the period of twelve months ended June 30, 2023. Dividend payable on September 22, 2023, record date of September 8, 2023 and ex-date of September 7, 2023. Announcement • Aug 26
Helloworld Travel Limited (ASX:HLO) acquired 40% stake in Phil Hoffmann Travel Pty. Ltd. Helloworld Travel Limited (ASX:HLO) agreed to acquire 40% stake in Phil Hoffmann Travel Pty. Ltd. on May 2, 2023. The acquisition will be funded from Helloworld existing cash reserves. Helloworld also has the option to acquire the remaining 10% of Hoffmann’s shareholding in the next three years. Phil Hoffmann, Peter Williams and their team as they continue to support their customers in the years ahead. The transaction is expected to settle early July 2023.
Helloworld Travel Limited (ASX:HLO) acquired 40% stake in Phil Hoffmann Travel Pty. Ltd. on August 25, 2023. New Risk • Aug 13
New minor risk - Shareholder dilution The company's shareholders have been diluted in the past year. Increase in shares outstanding: 2.4% This is considered a minor risk. Shareholder dilution occurs when there is an increase in the number of shares on issue that is not proportionally distributed between all shareholders. Often due to the company raising equity capital or some options being converted into stock. All else being equal, if there are more shares outstanding then each existing share will be entitled to a lower proportion of the company's total earnings, thus reducing earnings per share (EPS). While dilution might not always result in lower EPS (like if the company is using the capital to fund an EPS accretive acquisition) in a lot cases it does, along with lower dividends per share and less voting power at shareholder meetings. This is currently the only risk that has been identified for the company. Announcement • Aug 03
Helloworld Travel Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on Aug 28, 2023 Helloworld Travel Limited announced that they will report fiscal year 2023 results on Aug 28, 2023 Announcement • Jun 24
Helloworld Travel Limited (ASX:HLO) agreed to acquire Orient Express Travel Group Pty. Ltd. for AUD 70 million. Helloworld Travel Limited (ASX:HLO) agreed to acquire Orient Express Travel Group Pty. Ltd. for AUD 70 million on June 22, 2023. Buying Opportunity • Jun 23
Now 23% undervalued Over the last 90 days, the stock is up 4.2%. The fair value is estimated to be AU$3.21, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has declined by 64% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company became loss making. Announcement • Jun 17
Helloworld Travel Limited Appoints Peter Crinis as Chief Commercial Officer, Effective July 3, 2023 Helloworld Travel Limited announced that Peter Crinis has accepted the position of Chief Commercial Officer and will commence with the business on Monday, 3 July 2023. Mr. Crinis is one of the most experienced travel, tourism and hospitality executives in Australia and was previously Chief Executive Officer for Crown Hotels nationally, responsible for some of Australia's most significant tourism infrastructure assets and operations. His responsibilities at Crown included developments and properties in Melbourne, Perth and Sydney and the operation of 8 hotels across the Crown portfolio and Crown's 25 international and luxury brands. Mr. Crinis sits on the board of Visit Victoria and a number of charitable organizations and was a board member of the Melbourne Convention Bureau for eight years from 2010 to 2018. Buying Opportunity • May 25
Now 22% undervalued Over the last 90 days, the stock is up 9.1%. The fair value is estimated to be AU$3.26, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has declined by 64% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company became loss making. Price Target Changed • Apr 29
Price target increased by 13% to AU$3.00 Up from AU$2.65, the current price target is an average from 6 analysts. New target price is approximately in line with last closing price of AU$3.02. Stock is up 14% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of AU$0.037 next year compared to a net loss per share of AU$0.18 last year. Price Target Changed • Apr 27
Price target increased by 7.3% to AU$2.69 Up from AU$2.51, the current price target is an average from 6 analysts. New target price is approximately in line with last closing price of AU$2.69. Stock is up 2.7% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of AU$0.04 next year compared to a net loss per share of AU$0.18 last year. Buying Opportunity • Apr 20
Now 21% undervalued Over the last 90 days, the stock is up 56%. The fair value is estimated to be AU$3.32, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has declined by 64% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company became loss making. Price Target Changed • Mar 26
Price target increased by 7.3% to AU$2.69 Up from AU$2.51, the current price target is an average from 6 analysts. New target price is 13% above last closing price of AU$2.37. Stock is down 4.0% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of AU$0.04 next year compared to a net loss per share of AU$0.18 last year. Upcoming Dividend • Feb 27
Upcoming dividend of AU$0.02 per share at 1.7% yield Eligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 06 March 2023. Payment date: 23 March 2023. The company is not currently making a profit and there are not enough cash flows to support it either. Trailing yield: 1.7%. Lower than top quartile of Australian dividend payers (6.9%). Lower than average of industry peers (2.1%). Reported Earnings • Feb 21
First half 2023 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.009 (vs AU$0.098 loss in 1H 2022) First half 2023 results: EPS: AU$0.009 (up from AU$0.098 loss in 1H 2022). Revenue: AU$71.3m (up 177% from 1H 2022). Net income: AU$1.36m (up AU$16.5m from 1H 2022). Profit margin: 1.9% (up from net loss in 1H 2022). The move to profitability was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 28% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 8.9% growth forecast for the Hospitality industry in Australia. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 11% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 17% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings. Breakeven Date Change • Feb 20
Forecast breakeven date pushed back to 2024 The 5 analysts covering Helloworld Travel previously expected the company to break even in 2023. New consensus forecast suggests losses will reduce by 85% to 2023. The company is expected to make a profit of AU$15.2m in 2024. Average annual earnings growth of 99% is required to achieve expected profit on schedule. Announcement • Feb 20
Helloworld Travel Limited Announces Ordinary Franked Dividend for Six Months Ended December 31, 2023, Payable on 23 March 2023 Helloworld Travel Limited announced ordinary franked dividend of AUD 0.02000000 for six months ended December 31, 2023. Record Date is 7 March 2023. Ex Date is 6 March, 2023, Payment Date is 23 March 2023. Announcement • Jan 20
Helloworld Travel Limited Appoints Leanne Coddington as a Non-Executive Director, Effective 1 February 2023 Helloworld Travel Limited announced the appointment of Leanne Coddington as a Non-Executive Director of the company, effective 1 February 2023. Leanne worked until late 2022, as a senior executive at Tourism Events Queensland for the past 26 years, the last nine as Chief Executive Officer, and has an outstanding record of achievement in tourism marketing and development. Leanne has a well-developed knowledge of consumer discretionary behaviour, brand and marketing drivers, event acquisition, aviation route development and global distribution channels. Leanne is also a Director of the Museum of Brisbane. This announcement has been approved by the Board. Announcement • Nov 30
Helloworld Travel Limited Appoints Martin Pakula as an Independent Non-Executive Director to the Board Helloworld Travel Limited announced the appointment of the Hon. Martin Pakula as an independent non-executive Director to the Board effective immediately. Mr. Pakula, 53, stepped down as the State member for Keysborough at the recent State election in Victoria after serving a six and half year term as an MLC in the 2000's and a ten-year term as an MLA from 2013 to 2022. He completed a Bachelor of Economics in 1989 and an Honours Degree in Law in 1991 at Monash University. He has extensive experience in a range of portfolios: Minister for Industrial Relations (2008 2010); Minister for Industry and Trade (2008 2010); Minister for Public Transport (2010); Attorney General (2014 2018); Minister for Racing (2014 2022); Minister of Jobs, Innovation and Trade (2018 2020); Minister for the Coordination of Jobs, Precincts and Regions COVID-19 (2020); Minister for Tourism, Sport and Major Events (2018 2022); Minister for Industry Support and Recovery (2020 2022); Minister for Trade (2020 2022); Minister for Business Precincts (2020 2022). Mr. Pakula stepped down from his portfolio responsibilities in June of 2022. Board Change • Nov 16
Less than half of directors are independent Following the recent departure of a director, there are only 2 independent directors on the board. The company's board is composed of: 2 independent directors. 3 non-independent directors. Independent Non-Executive Director Rob Dalton was the last independent director to join the board, commencing their role in 2021. The company's minority of independent directors is a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model. Announcement • Nov 09
Helloworld Travel Limited Announces Resignation of Andrew Finch as Non- Executive Director Helloworld Travel Limited (HLO) announced that Andrew Finch has resigned as a Non- Executive Director. On 8 November 2022, Qantas Airways Limited announced it has sold its remaining shareholding in HLO. Having regard to this announcement, Mr. Finch announced that he is resigning as a Director of HLO with immediate effect. Price Target Changed • Sep 06
Price target decreased to AU$2.55 Down from AU$2.76, the current price target is an average from 5 analysts. New target price is 24% above last closing price of AU$2.06. Stock is down 4.2% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of AU$0.0074 next year compared to a net loss per share of AU$0.18 last year. Reported Earnings • Aug 31
Full year 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations Full year 2022 results: AU$0.18 loss per share (up from AU$0.26 loss in FY 2021). Revenue: AU$63.5m (up 60% from FY 2021). Net loss: AU$28.1m (loss narrowed 28% from FY 2021). Revenue missed analyst estimates by 33%. Earnings per share (EPS) also missed analyst estimates by 20%. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 128%, compared to a 27% growth forecast for the Hospitality industry in Australia. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 51% per year but the company’s share price has only fallen by 22% per year, which means it has not declined as severely as earnings. Announcement • Aug 30
Helloworld Travel Limited Declares Final Dividend for the Year Ended 30 June 2022, Payable on 23 September 2022 On 30 August 2022, the directors of Helloworld Travel Limited declared a 10 cent per share fully franked final dividend. The dividend will be paid on 23 September 2022 with a record date of 5 September 2022. The final dividend to be distributed is expected to amount to $15.5 million based on the closing number of issued shares at 30 June 2022 of 155,027,845. The dividend will be paid out of 2022 financial year profits but is not recognized as a liability at 30 June 2022. No dividends were declared or paid during the current or prior year. Announcement • Aug 19
Helloworld Travel Limited, Annual General Meeting, Oct 11, 2022 Helloworld Travel Limited, Annual General Meeting, Oct 11, 2022, at 10:01 AUS Eastern Standard Time. Announcement • May 03
Helloworld Travel Limited Appoints Michael Smith as Chief Financial Officer Helloworld Travel Limited announced the appointment of Mr. Michael Smith as Chief Financial Officer of the Company, effective 2 May 2022. Mike, a Chartered Accountant and experienced Chief Financial Officer, brings a wealth of financial and operational knowledge to HLO from over 25 years as a finance professional, including 12 years as CFO and CEO of Amplifon Australia. Prior to this Mike was the CFO at Adacel Technologies and a senior manager at PwC. Board Change • Apr 27
Less than half of directors are independent Following the recent departure of a director, there are only 2 independent directors on the board. The company's board is composed of: 2 independent directors. 3 non-independent directors. Independent Non-Executive Director Rob Dalton was the last independent director to join the board, commencing their role in 2021. The company's minority of independent directors is a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model. Reported Earnings • Feb 23
First half 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations First half 2022 results: AU$0.09 loss per share (up from AU$0.098 loss in 1H 2021). Revenue: AU$40.3m (up 45% from 1H 2021). Net loss: AU$14.0m (loss narrowed 5.8% from 1H 2021). Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 6.6%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 5.5%. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 73%, compared to a 38% growth forecast for the industry in Australia. Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 55 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance. Major Estimate Revision • Feb 22
Consensus revenue estimates fall by 12% The consensus outlook for revenues in 2022 has deteriorated. 2022 revenue forecast decreased from AU$101.6m to AU$89.0m. Forecast losses increased from -AU$0.15 to -AU$0.16 per share. Hospitality industry in Australia expected to see average net income growth of 29% next year. Consensus price target broadly unchanged at AU$2.71. Share price fell 2.9% to AU$2.33 over the past week. Price Target Changed • Dec 16
Price target increased to AU$2.38 Up from AU$2.21, the current price target is an average from 4 analysts. New target price is approximately in line with last closing price of AU$2.47. Stock is down 4.3% over the past year. The company is forecast to post a net loss per share of AU$0.14 next year compared to a net loss per share of AU$0.23 last year. Major Estimate Revision • Dec 16
Consensus EPS estimates fall by 18% The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in 2022 has deteriorated. 2022 revenue forecast decreased from AU$106.0m to AU$98.6m. Losses expected to increase from AU$0.12 per share to AU$0.14. Hospitality industry in Australia expected to see average net income growth of 20% next year. Consensus price target up from AU$2.21 to AU$2.38. Share price rose 8.8% to AU$2.47 over the past week. 
