Helloworld Travel Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Helloworld Travel is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 9.9% and 5.5% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 8.1% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 10.8% in 3 years.

Key information

9.9%

Earnings growth rate

8.1%

EPS growth rate

Hospitality earnings growth	15.4%
Revenue growth rate	5.5%
Future return on equity	10.8%
Analyst coverage	Low
Last updated	25 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Helloworld Travel Limited Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

Aug 30

Recent updates

Helloworld Travel (ASX:HLO) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of A$0.06

Aug 31

Helloworld Travel Limited Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

Aug 30

A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of Helloworld Travel Limited (ASX:HLO)

Jul 21

Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine Helloworld Travel Limited (ASX:HLO)?

May 25

Is There An Opportunity With Helloworld Travel Limited's (ASX:HLO) 23% Undervaluation?

Apr 18

AU$2.55 - That's What Analysts Think Helloworld Travel Limited (ASX:HLO) Is Worth After These Results

Feb 25

How Does Helloworld Travel's (ASX:HLO) CEO Salary Compare to Peers?

Jan 29

What Type Of Returns Would Helloworld Travel's(ASX:HLO) Shareholders Have Earned If They Purchased Their SharesYear Ago?

Jan 08

What Is The Ownership Structure Like For Helloworld Travel Limited (ASX:HLO)?

Dec 04

Helloworld Travel (ASX:HLO) Is Growing Earnings But Are They A Good Guide?

Aug 19

Helloworld Travel Limited (ASX:HLO) Not Doing Enough For Some Investors

Jul 24

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

ASX:HLO - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (AUD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
6/30/2027	257	42	N/A	57	5
6/30/2026	246	39	N/A	55	5
6/30/2025	234	37	N/A	49	5
6/30/2024	217	31	61	63	N/A
12/31/2023	198	34	56	58	N/A
9/30/2023	179	27	40	43	N/A
6/30/2023	161	19	23	27	N/A
12/31/2022	109	-12	13	16	N/A
9/30/2022	86	-20	9	13	N/A
6/30/2022	64	-28	6	9	N/A
12/31/2021	38	-39	-39	-31	N/A
9/30/2021	39	-39	-31	-22	N/A
6/30/2021	40	-39	-22	-14	N/A
3/31/2021	86	-71	-19	-9	N/A
12/31/2020	106	-107	-14	-5	N/A
9/30/2020	192	-89	-38	-23	N/A
6/30/2020	278	-70	-61	-41	N/A
3/31/2020	327	-16	-17	6	N/A
12/31/2019	375	39	26	54	N/A
9/30/2019	366	38	24	52	N/A
6/30/2019	358	38	22	49	N/A
3/31/2019	348	35	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2018	339	32	-14	9	N/A
9/30/2018	332	31	5	26	N/A
6/30/2018	326	31	24	42	N/A
3/31/2018	325	30	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2017	325	29	N/A	36	N/A
9/30/2017	326	25	N/A	33	N/A
6/30/2017	327	22	N/A	29	N/A
3/31/2017	330	19	N/A	19	N/A
12/31/2016	333	16	N/A	8	N/A
9/30/2016	317	9	N/A	5	N/A
6/30/2016	301	2	N/A	2	N/A
3/31/2016	290	-100	N/A	10	N/A
12/31/2015	279	-202	N/A	17	N/A
9/30/2015	279	-202	N/A	11	N/A
6/30/2015	279	-201	N/A	5	N/A
3/31/2015	279	-130	N/A	-8	N/A
12/31/2014	280	-59	N/A	-20	N/A
9/30/2014	286	-61	N/A	-26	N/A
6/30/2014	292	-63	N/A	-31	N/A
3/31/2014	302	-30	N/A	-2	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: HLO's forecast earnings growth (9.9% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: HLO's earnings (9.9% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the Australian market (12.6% per year).

High Growth Earnings: HLO's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: HLO's revenue (5.5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the Australian market (5.9% per year).

High Growth Revenue: HLO's revenue (5.5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: HLO's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (10.8%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/31 06:48
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/31 00:00
Earnings	2024/06/30
Annual Earnings	2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Helloworld Travel Limited is covered by 17 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Russell Wright	APP Securities Pty Ltd.
Russell Wright	Barclay Pearce Capital Pty Limited
Alexander McLean	Bell Potter

Helloworld Travel Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 19%

Helloworld Travel Limited Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

Price target increased by 11% to AU$3.80

Price target increased by 13% to AU$3.00

Price target increased by 7.3% to AU$2.69

Price target increased by 7.3% to AU$2.69

Recent updates

New minor risk - Shareholder dilution

CEO, MD & Director recently bought AU$186k worth of stock

CEO, MD & Director recently bought AU$99k worth of stock

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 19%

Helloworld Travel (ASX:HLO) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of A$0.06

Helloworld Travel Limited Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

Helloworld Travel Limited, Annual General Meeting, Oct 25, 2024

Final dividend of AU$0.06 announced

Full year 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Helloworld Travel Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2024 Results on Aug 27, 2024

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.05 per share

First half dividend of AU$0.05 announced

First half 2024 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.10 (vs AU$0.009 in 1H 2023)

Helloworld Travel Limited Announces the Resignation of Peter Crinis as Chief Commercial Officer

Independent Non-Executive Director recently bought AU$104k worth of stock

Price target increased by 11% to AU$3.80

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 19%

Now 21% undervalued

Helloworld Travel Limited, Annual General Meeting, Oct 25, 2023

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.06 per share at 2.5% yield

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behind

Helloworld Travel Limited Announces Ordinary Dividend for the Period of Twelve Months Ended June 30, 2023, Payable on September 22, 2023

Helloworld Travel Limited (ASX:HLO) acquired 40% stake in Phil Hoffmann Travel Pty. Ltd.

New minor risk - Shareholder dilution

Helloworld Travel Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on Aug 28, 2023

A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of Helloworld Travel Limited (ASX:HLO)

Helloworld Travel Limited (ASX:HLO) agreed to acquire Orient Express Travel Group Pty. Ltd. for AUD 70 million.

Now 23% undervalued

Helloworld Travel Limited Appoints Peter Crinis as Chief Commercial Officer, Effective July 3, 2023

Helloworld Travel Limited Appoints Peter Crinis as Chief Commercial Officer, Effective July 3, 2023

Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine Helloworld Travel Limited (ASX:HLO)?

Now 22% undervalued

Price target increased by 13% to AU$3.00

Price target increased by 7.3% to AU$2.69

Now 21% undervalued

Is There An Opportunity With Helloworld Travel Limited's (ASX:HLO) 23% Undervaluation?

Price target increased by 7.3% to AU$2.69

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.02 per share at 1.7% yield

What Is Helloworld Travel Limited's (ASX:HLO) Share Price Doing?

First half 2023 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.009 (vs AU$0.098 loss in 1H 2022)

Forecast breakeven date pushed back to 2024

Helloworld Travel Limited Announces Ordinary Franked Dividend for Six Months Ended December 31, 2023, Payable on 23 March 2023

Helloworld Travel Limited Appoints Leanne Coddington as a Non-Executive Director, Effective 1 February 2023

Helloworld Travel Limited Appoints Martin Pakula as an Independent Non-Executive Director to the Board

Less than half of directors are independent

Helloworld Travel Limited Announces Resignation of Andrew Finch as Non- Executive Director

Price target decreased to AU$2.55

Full year 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Helloworld Travel Limited Declares Final Dividend for the Year Ended 30 June 2022, Payable on 23 September 2022

Helloworld Travel Limited, Annual General Meeting, Oct 11, 2022

Helloworld Travel Limited Appoints Michael Smith as Chief Financial Officer

Less than half of directors are independent

Corporate Travel Management Limited (ASX:CTD) completed the acquisition of Corporate and Entertainment Travel Businesses in Australia and New Zealand of Helloworld Travel.

Is Helloworld Travel (ASX:HLO) Using Debt Sensibly?

First half 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Consensus revenue estimates fall by 12%

Corporate Travel Management Limited (ASX:CTD) entered into an agreement to acquire Corporate and Entertainment Travel Businesses in Australia and New Zealand of Helloworld Travel for AUD 175 million.

Price target increased to AU$2.38

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 18%

Helloworld Travel (ASX:HLO) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

CEO, MD & Director recently sold AU$1.5m worth of stock

Full year 2021 earnings released: AU$0.23 loss per share (vs AU$0.56 loss in FY 2020)

Does Helloworld Travel (ASX:HLO) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Price target decreased to AU$2.25

Consensus EPS estimates fall to -AU$0.20

Analysts increase EPS estimates to -AU$0.17

Is Helloworld Travel (ASX:HLO) Using Too Much Debt?

AU$2.55 - That's What Analysts Think Helloworld Travel Limited (ASX:HLO) Is Worth After These Results

Revenue beats expectations, earnings disappoint