Stock Analysis

3 ASX Stocks Estimated To Be Trading Up To 39.8% Below Intrinsic Value

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The Australian market has remained flat over the last week but is up 16% over the past year, with earnings expected to grow by 12% annually in the coming years. In this context, identifying stocks that are trading below their intrinsic value can present attractive opportunities for investors seeking to capitalize on potential future growth.

Top 10 Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows In Australia

NameCurrent PriceFair Value (Est)Discount (Est)
Mader Group (ASX:MAD)A$5.37A$10.4348.5%
MLG Oz (ASX:MLG)A$0.64A$1.1644.8%
Charter Hall Group (ASX:CHC)A$15.74A$31.4349.9%
Ingenia Communities Group (ASX:INA)A$4.99A$9.4347.1%
MedAdvisor (ASX:MDR)A$0.43A$0.8549.4%
IperionX (ASX:IPX)A$3.45A$6.8049.3%
Millennium Services Group (ASX:MIL)A$1.145A$2.2448.9%
IDP Education (ASX:IEL)A$15.03A$27.7045.7%
Superloop (ASX:SLC)A$1.78A$3.3146.3%
Mineral Resources (ASX:MIN)A$47.94A$94.5149.3%

Click here to see the full list of 47 stocks from our Undervalued ASX Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener.

Below we spotlight a couple of our favorites from our exclusive screener.

Cettire (ASX:CTT)

Overview: Cettire Limited operates as an online luxury goods retailer in Australia, the United States, and internationally, with a market cap of A$762.48 million.

Operations: The company's revenue is primarily generated from online retail sales, amounting to A$742.26 million.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 32%

Cettire is trading at A$2, significantly below its estimated fair value of A$2.94, suggesting potential undervaluation based on cash flows. Although earnings are expected to grow 29% annually, profit margins have declined from 3.8% to 1.4%. Recent board appointments bring experienced leadership amid revenue growth forecasts surpassing the Australian market average. However, Cettire's share price remains highly volatile, and net income has decreased year-on-year despite strong sales growth.

ASX:CTT Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2024

Flight Centre Travel Group (ASX:FLT)

Overview: Flight Centre Travel Group Limited offers travel retailing services to both leisure and corporate clients across various regions including Australia, New Zealand, the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Asia, and globally; it has a market cap of A$4.84 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue is derived from two main segments: Leisure, contributing A$1.35 billion, and Corporate, generating A$1.11 billion.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 14.9%

Flight Centre Travel Group is trading at A$21.92, below its fair value estimate of A$25.74, indicating potential undervaluation based on cash flows. The company reported a significant increase in net income to A$139 million, supported by a strong cash position and ongoing growth strategies including acquisitions. While earnings are projected to grow 19.6% annually, outpacing the Australian market average, revenue growth is slower at 8%. Dividend sustainability remains uncertain due to an unstable track record.

ASX:FLT Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2024

Regal Partners (ASX:RPL)

Overview: Regal Partners Limited is a privately owned hedge fund sponsor with a market capitalization of A$1.21 billion.

Operations: Regal Partners Limited generates revenue of A$198.50 million from providing investment management services.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 39.8%

Regal Partners is trading at A$3.61, significantly below its fair value estimate of A$6, highlighting potential undervaluation based on cash flows. The company reported a substantial increase in net income to A$50.23 million for the half-year ended June 2024 from a loss the previous year, despite shareholder dilution concerns. Earnings are forecast to grow over 20% annually, outpacing the Australian market, though dividend coverage by free cash flow remains inadequate.

ASX:RPL Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2024

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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