Stock Analysis

The Price Is Right For Domino's Pizza Enterprises Limited (ASX:DMP) Even After Diving 30%

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ASX:DMP

Domino's Pizza Enterprises Limited (ASX:DMP) shares have had a horrible month, losing 30% after a relatively good period beforehand. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 45% in that time.

Although its price has dipped substantially, Domino's Pizza Enterprises' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 53.3x might still make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in Australia, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 18x and even P/E's below 10x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

Recent times haven't been advantageous for Domino's Pizza Enterprises as its earnings have been falling quicker than most other companies. It might be that many expect the dismal earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

View our latest analysis for Domino's Pizza Enterprises

ASX:DMP Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry February 15th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Domino's Pizza Enterprises.

How Is Domino's Pizza Enterprises' Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Domino's Pizza Enterprises would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 61%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 54% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 44% per annum as estimated by the analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 17% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.

In light of this, it's understandable that Domino's Pizza Enterprises' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Key Takeaway

Even after such a strong price drop, Domino's Pizza Enterprises' P/E still exceeds the rest of the market significantly. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Domino's Pizza Enterprises' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - Domino's Pizza Enterprises has 3 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.