Stock Analysis

Does Domino's Pizza Enterprises (ASX:DMP) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

ASX:DMP
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Domino's Pizza Enterprises Limited (ASX:DMP) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Domino's Pizza Enterprises

What Is Domino's Pizza Enterprises's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of July 2023 Domino's Pizza Enterprises had AU$979.5m of debt, an increase on AU$644.3m, over one year. On the flip side, it has AU$159.9m in cash leading to net debt of about AU$819.6m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ASX:DMP Debt to Equity History September 10th 2023

How Strong Is Domino's Pizza Enterprises' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Domino's Pizza Enterprises had liabilities of AU$594.1m due within 12 months, and liabilities of AU$1.76b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of AU$159.9m and AU$251.3m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by AU$1.95b.

This deficit isn't so bad because Domino's Pizza Enterprises is worth AU$4.74b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Domino's Pizza Enterprises has net debt to EBITDA of 3.1 suggesting it uses a fair bit of leverage to boost returns. On the plus side, its EBIT was 8.3 times its interest expense, and its net debt to EBITDA, was quite high, at 3.1. Shareholders should be aware that Domino's Pizza Enterprises's EBIT was down 23% last year. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Domino's Pizza Enterprises can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. In the last three years, Domino's Pizza Enterprises's free cash flow amounted to 47% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Our View

We'd go so far as to say Domino's Pizza Enterprises's EBIT growth rate was disappointing. But on the bright side, its interest cover is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Looking at the balance sheet and taking into account all these factors, we do believe that debt is making Domino's Pizza Enterprises stock a bit risky. Some people like that sort of risk, but we're mindful of the potential pitfalls, so we'd probably prefer it carry less debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 4 warning signs with Domino's Pizza Enterprises , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.