Even though Aquis Entertainment Limited's (ASX:AQS) recent earnings release was robust, the market didn't seem to notice. Investors are probably missing some underlying factors which are encouraging for the future of the company.
See our latest analysis for Aquis Entertainment
A Closer Look At Aquis Entertainment's Earnings
As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.
As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
For the year to June 2021, Aquis Entertainment had an accrual ratio of -0.51. That implies it has very good cash conversion, and that its earnings in the last year actually significantly understate its free cash flow. In fact, it had free cash flow of AU$7.7m in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of AU$3.85m. Given that Aquis Entertainment had negative free cash flow in the prior corresponding period, the trailing twelve month resul of AU$7.7m would seem to be a step in the right direction.
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Aquis Entertainment.
Our Take On Aquis Entertainment's Profit Performance
As we discussed above, Aquis Entertainment's accrual ratio indicates strong conversion of profit to free cash flow, which is a positive for the company. Because of this, we think Aquis Entertainment's underlying earnings potential is as good as, or possibly even better, than the statutory profit makes it seem! And one can definitely find a positive in the fact that it made a profit this year, despite losing money last year. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. If you want to do dive deeper into Aquis Entertainment, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. For example, Aquis Entertainment has 4 warning signs (and 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) we think you should know about.
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Aquis Entertainment's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About ASX:AQS
Aquis Entertainment
Aquis Entertainment Limited engages in the entertainment, gaming, and leisure businesses in Australia.
Adequate balance sheet and slightly overvalued.
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