Stock Analysis

Is GLG (ASX:GLE) Using Debt Sensibly?

ASX:GLE
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that GLG Corp Ltd (ASX:GLE) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for GLG

What Is GLG's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that GLG had debt of US$38.8m at the end of June 2023, a reduction from US$53.3m over a year. On the flip side, it has US$19.2m in cash leading to net debt of about US$19.6m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ASX:GLE Debt to Equity History December 13th 2023

How Healthy Is GLG's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that GLG had liabilities of US$52.2m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$7.35m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$19.2m in cash and US$27.7m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$12.6m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of US$10.2m, we think shareholders really should watch GLG's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since GLG will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

In the last year GLG had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 42%, to US$116m. To be frank that doesn't bode well.

Caveat Emptor

Not only did GLG's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Indeed, it lost a very considerable US$2.3m at the EBIT level. When we look at that alongside the significant liabilities, we're not particularly confident about the company. We'd want to see some strong near-term improvements before getting too interested in the stock. It's fair to say the loss of US$2.0m didn't encourage us either; we'd like to see a profit. In the meantime, we consider the stock to be risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for GLG (1 is a bit concerning) you should be aware of.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.