What Are The Drivers Of YPB Group Limited’s (ASX:YPB) Risks?

If you are looking to invest in YPB Group Limited’s (ASX:YPB), or currently own the stock, then you need to understand its beta in order to understand how it can affect the risk of your portfolio. There are two types of risks that affect the market value of a listed company such as YPB. The first risk to think about is company-specific, which can be diversified away by investing in other companies in order to lower your exposure to one particular stock. The second type is market risk, one that you cannot diversify away, since it arises from macroeconomic factors which directly affects all the stocks in the market.

Not every stock is exposed to the same level of market risk. The most widely used metric to quantify a stock’s market risk is beta, and the market as a whole represents a beta of one. A stock with a beta greater than one is considered more sensitive to market-wide shocks compared to a stock that trades below the value of one.

Check out our latest analysis for YPB Group

An interpretation of YPB’s beta

With a beta of 1.46, YPB Group is a stock that tends to experience more gains than the market during a growth phase and also a bigger reduction in value compared to the market during a broad downturn. According to this value of beta, YPB will help diversify your portfolio, if it currently comprises of low-beta stocks. This will be beneficial for portfolio returns, in particular, when current market sentiment is positive.

ASX:YPB Income Statement May 8th 18
ASX:YPB Income Statement May 8th 18

How does YPB’s size and industry impact its risk?

YPB, with its market capitalisation of AU$12.47M, is a small-cap stock, which generally have higher beta than similar companies of larger size. Furthermore, the company operates in the professional services industry, which has been found to have high sensitivity to market-wide shocks. As a result, we should expect higher beta for small-cap stocks in a cyclical industry compared to larger stocks in a defensive industry. This is consistent with YPB’s individual beta value we discussed above. Next, we will examine the fundamental factors which can cause cyclicality in the stock.

Can YPB’s asset-composition point to a higher beta?

An asset-heavy company tends to have a higher beta because the risk associated with running fixed assets during a downturn is highly expensive. I test YPB’s ratio of fixed assets to total assets in order to determine how high the risk is associated with this type of constraint. Considering fixed assets account for less than a third of the company’s overall assets, YPB seems to have a smaller dependency on fixed costs to generate revenue. Thus, we can expect YPB to be more stable in the face of market movements, relative to its peers of similar size but with a higher portion of fixed assets on their books. This outcome contradicts YPB’s current beta value which indicates an above-average volatility.

What this means for you:

You may reap the gains of YPB’s returns during times of economic growth by holding the stock. Its low fixed cost also implies that it has the flexibility to adjust its cost to preserve margins during times of a downturn. I recommend analysing the stock in terms of your current portfolio composition before deciding to invest more into YPB. In order to fully understand whether YPB is a good investment for you, we also need to consider important company-specific fundamentals such as YPB Group’s financial health and performance track record. I urge you to complete your research by taking a look at the following:

  1. Financial Health: Is YPB’s operations financially sustainable? Balance sheets can be hard to analyze, which is why we’ve done it for you. Check out our financial health checks here.
  2. Valuation: What is YPB worth today? Is the stock undervalued, even when its growth outlook is factored into its intrinsic value? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether YPB is currently mispriced by the market.
  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.