YPB Group (ASX:YPB) - Stock price, News & Analysis

YPB fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation	1/6
Future Growth	0/6
Past Performance	0/6
Financial Health	4/6
Dividends	0/6

YPB Stock Overview

YPB Group Limited develops, markets, and sells anti-counterfeiting, product authentication, and consumer engagement solutions to brand owners.

Risk Analysis

Highly volatile share price over the past 3 months

Makes less than USD$1m in revenue (A$556K)

Does not have a meaningful market cap (A$12M)

Shareholders have been diluted in the past year

Price History & Performance

Summary of all time highs, changes and price drops for YPB Group
Historical stock prices
Current Share Price	AU$0.002
52 Week High	AU$0.007
52 Week Low	AU$0.001
Beta	0.94
1 Month Change	0%
3 Month Change	-33.33%
1 Year Change	-42.86%
3 Year Change	-89.47%
5 Year Change	-99.05%
Change since IPO	-99.00%

Shareholder Returns

	YPB	AU Professional Services	AU Market
7D	-20.0%	-3.1%	-2.8%
1Y	-42.9%	11.5%	5.8%

Return vs Industry: YPB underperformed the Australian Professional Services industry which returned 11.5% over the past year.

Return vs Market: YPB underperformed the Australian Market which returned 5.8% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is YPB's price volatile compared to industry and market?
YPB volatility
YPB Average Weekly Movement	49.6%
Professional Services Industry Average Movement	5.5%
Market Average Movement	8.6%
10% most volatile stocks in AU Market	15.4%
10% least volatile stocks in AU Market	3.7%

Stable Share Price: YPB is more volatile than 90% of Australian stocks over the past 3 months, typically moving +/- 50% a week.

Volatility Over Time: YPB's weekly volatility has increased from 43% to 50% over the past year.

About the Company

Founded	Employees	CEO	Website
2011	n/a	John Houston	https://www.ypbsystems.com

YPB Group Limited develops, markets, and sells anti-counterfeiting, product authentication, and consumer engagement solutions to brand owners. It offers digital engagement platform, a cloud-based customer digital engagement and analytics platform that enables brands to form a relationship with customers; manufactures and sells covert forensic products that are used for tracing a product or packaging during or after the manufacturing process, which is detectable using the company’s proprietary scanner; and forensic laboratory services for the examination of counterfeit products. The company also provides security consulting services to governments, corporations, and intellectual property owners for the deterrence of counterfeiting, grey markets, product diversions, and fraud activities; and brand protection labelling solutions for sellers, brands, and product owners.

YPB Group Fundamentals Summary

How do YPB Group's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
YPB fundamental statistics
Market Cap	AU$11.86m
Earnings (TTM)	-AU$11.28m
Revenue (TTM)	AU$556.00k

22.2x

P/S Ratio

-1.1x

P/E Ratio

Is YPB overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report
YPB income statement (TTM)
Revenue	AU$556.00k
Cost of Revenue	AU$43.00k
Gross Profit	AU$513.00k
Expenses	AU$11.79m
Earnings	-AU$11.28m

Last Reported Earnings

Jun 30, 2021

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)	-0.0019
Gross Margin	92.27%
Net Profit Margin	-2,028.06%
Debt/Equity Ratio	35.1%

How did YPB perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Valuation

Is YPB Group undervalued compared to its fair value and its price relative to the market?

2.6x

Price to Book (PB) ratio

Share Price vs. Fair Value

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate YPB's fair value to establish if it is undervalued.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate YPB's fair value to establish if it is undervalued.

Price To Earnings Ratio

PE vs Industry: YPB is unprofitable, so we can't compare its PE Ratio to the Australian Professional Services industry average.

PE vs Market: YPB is unprofitable, so we can't compare its PE Ratio to the Australian market.

Price to Earnings Growth Ratio

PEG Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate YPB's PEG Ratio to determine if it is good value.

Price to Book Ratio

PB vs Industry: YPB is good value based on its PB Ratio (2.6x) compared to the AU Professional Services industry average (3.3x).

Future Growth

How is YPB Group forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 0 analysts?

20.8%

Forecasted Commercial Services industry annual growth in earnings

In this section we usually present revenue and earnings growth projections based on the consensus estimates of professional analysts to help investors understand the company’s ability to generate profit. But as YPB Group has not provided enough past data and has no analyst forecast, its future earnings cannot be reliably calculated by extrapolating past data or using analyst predictions.

This is quite a rare situation as 97% of companies covered by SimplyWall St do have past financial data.

Past Performance

How has YPB Group performed over the past 5 years?

15.3%

Historical annual earnings growth

Earnings and Revenue History

Quality Earnings: YPB is currently unprofitable.

Growing Profit Margin: YPB is currently unprofitable.

Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: YPB is unprofitable, but has reduced losses over the past 5 years at a rate of 15.3% per year.

Accelerating Growth: Unable to compare YPB's earnings growth over the past year to its 5-year average as it is currently unprofitable

Earnings vs Industry: YPB is unprofitable, making it difficult to compare its past year earnings growth to the Professional Services industry (9.3%).

Return on Equity

High ROE: YPB has a negative Return on Equity (-246.63%), as it is currently unprofitable.

Financial Health

How is YPB Group's financial position?

Financial Position Analysis

Short Term Liabilities: YPB's short term assets (A$2.1M) do not cover its short term liabilities (A$3.3M).

Long Term Liabilities: YPB has no long term liabilities.

Debt to Equity History and Analysis

Debt Level: YPB's net debt to equity ratio (5.5%) is considered satisfactory.

Reducing Debt: YPB's debt to equity ratio has increased from 15.3% to 35.1% over the past 5 years.

Balance Sheet

Cash Runway Analysis

For companies that have on average been loss making in the past we assess whether they have at least 1 year of cash runway.

Stable Cash Runway: YPB has sufficient cash runway for 4 months based on last reported free cash flow, but has since raised additional capital.

Forecast Cash Runway: YPB is forecast to have sufficient cash runway for 4 months based on free cash flow estimates, but has since raised additional capital.

Dividend

What is YPB Group current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?

Dividend Yield vs Market

Notable Dividend: Unable to evaluate YPB's dividend yield against the bottom 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.

High Dividend: Unable to evaluate YPB's dividend yield against the top 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.

Stability and Growth of Payments

Stable Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if YPB's dividends per share have been stable in the past.

Growing Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if YPB's dividend payments have been increasing.

Current Payout to Shareholders

Dividend Coverage: Insufficient data to calculate payout ratio to determine if its dividend payments are covered by earnings.

Future Payout to Shareholders

Future Dividend Coverage: No need to calculate the sustainability of YPB's dividend in 3 years as they are not forecast to pay a notable one for the Australian market.

Next Steps

Explore strong dividend paying companies in the Commercial Services industry.

Management

How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?

4.5yrs

Average management tenure

CEO

John Houston

4.5yrs

Tenure

AU$479,383

Compensation

Mr. John Houston has been an Executive Chairman and Director of YPB Group Ltd. since July 31, 2014 and Chief Executive Officer since July 2, 2017. Mr. Houston served as President of DOCOMO interTouch Pte L...

CEO Compensation Analysis

Compensation vs Market: John's total compensation ($USD345.40K) is about average for companies of similar size in the Australian market ($USD291.61K).

Compensation vs Earnings: John's compensation has been consistent with company performance over the past year.

Leadership Team

Experienced Management: YPB's management team is considered experienced (4.5 years average tenure).

Board Members

Experienced Board: YPB's board of directors are considered experienced (7.5 years average tenure).

Ownership

Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?

Insider Trading Volume

Insider Buying: Insufficient data to determine if insiders have bought more shares than they have sold in the past 3 months.

Ownership Breakdown

Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have been diluted in the past year, with total shares outstanding growing by 40.3%.

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2022/01/23 07:04
End of Day Share Price	2022/01/21 00:00
Earnings	2021/06/30
Annual Earnings	2020/12/31