Stock Analysis

Market Participants Recognise Smart Parking Limited's (ASX:SPZ) Revenues Pushing Shares 26% Higher

ASX:SPZ
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Smart Parking Limited (ASX:SPZ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 26% gain and recovering from prior weakness. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 91%.

Since its price has surged higher, you could be forgiven for thinking Smart Parking is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 3.3x, considering almost half the companies in Australia's Commercial Services industry have P/S ratios below 1.7x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

Check out our latest analysis for Smart Parking

ps-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:SPZ Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 16th 2024

How Smart Parking Has Been Performing

Recent times have been advantageous for Smart Parking as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. The P/S is probably high because investors think this strong revenue performance will continue. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Smart Parking.

How Is Smart Parking's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Smart Parking would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 18% last year. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 109% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the only analyst covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 20% per year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 8.4% per annum growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in mind, it's not hard to understand why Smart Parking's P/S is high relative to its industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Final Word

Smart Parking's P/S is on the rise since its shares have risen strongly. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our look into Smart Parking shows that its P/S ratio remains high on the merit of its strong future revenues. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

You need to take note of risks, for example - Smart Parking has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit concerning) we think you should know about.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Smart Parking is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.