Stock Analysis

Little Excitement Around eCargo Holdings Limited's (ASX:ECG) Earnings As Shares Take 45% Pounding

ASX:ECG
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Unfortunately for some shareholders, the eCargo Holdings Limited (ASX:ECG) share price has dived 45% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 56% loss during that time.

Following the heavy fall in price, eCargo Holdings' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 10.5x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in Australia, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 20x and even P/E's above 36x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.

Earnings have risen at a steady rate over the last year for eCargo Holdings, which is generally not a bad outcome. It might be that many expect the respectable earnings performance to degrade, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

View our latest analysis for eCargo Holdings

pe-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:ECG Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry April 24th 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on eCargo Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as eCargo Holdings' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 7.2% gain to the company's bottom line. Although, the latest three year period in total hasn't been as good as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.

Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 28% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.

In light of this, it's understandable that eCargo Holdings' P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the bourse.

The Final Word

The softening of eCargo Holdings' shares means its P/E is now sitting at a pretty low level. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that eCargo Holdings maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider market forecast, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

It is also worth noting that we have found 4 warning signs for eCargo Holdings that you need to take into consideration.

If you're unsure about the strength of eCargo Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether eCargo Holdings is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About ASX:ECG

eCargo Holdings

eCargo Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development and provision of e-commerce technologies, integrated offline and online supply chain operation, and digital commerce solutions and services in China and Australia.

Slightly overvalued with questionable track record.