Stock Analysis

CountPlus (ASX:CUP) Might Be Having Difficulty Using Its Capital Effectively

ASX:CUP
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What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. However, after investigating CountPlus (ASX:CUP), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.

Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)

Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for CountPlus:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.011 = AU$1.7m ÷ (AU$440m - AU$293m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2022).

So, CountPlus has an ROCE of 1.1%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Professional Services industry average of 15%.

See our latest analysis for CountPlus

roce
ASX:CUP Return on Capital Employed February 28th 2023

Above you can see how the current ROCE for CountPlus compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering CountPlus here for free.

The Trend Of ROCE

When we looked at the ROCE trend at CountPlus, we didn't gain much confidence. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 6.5%, but since then they've fallen to 1.1%. However, given capital employed and revenue have both increased it appears that the business is currently pursuing growth, at the consequence of short term returns. And if the increased capital generates additional returns, the business, and thus shareholders, will benefit in the long run.

On a side note, CountPlus' current liabilities have increased over the last five years to 67% of total assets, effectively distorting the ROCE to some degree. If current liabilities hadn't increased as much as they did, the ROCE could actually be even lower. What this means is that in reality, a rather large portion of the business is being funded by the likes of the company's suppliers or short-term creditors, which can bring some risks of its own.

The Key Takeaway

In summary, despite lower returns in the short term, we're encouraged to see that CountPlus is reinvesting for growth and has higher sales as a result. These trends are starting to be recognized by investors since the stock has delivered a 9.9% gain to shareholders who've held over the last five years. Therefore we'd recommend looking further into this stock to confirm if it has the makings of a good investment.

If you want to know some of the risks facing CountPlus we've found 3 warning signs (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.