Johns Lyng Group Limited

CHIA:JLG Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$1.2b

Johns Lyng Group Valuation

Is JLG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of JLG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: JLG (A$4.41) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$10.5)

Significantly Below Fair Value: JLG is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for JLG?

Key metric: As JLG is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for JLG. This is calculated by dividing JLG's market cap by their current earnings.
What is JLG's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio25.7x
EarningsAU$48.01m
Market CapAU$1.23b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does JLG's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for JLG vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average23.8x
SSM Service Stream
31.1x15.4%AU$995.8m
MGH MAAS Group Holdings
21.3x17.5%AU$1.5b
MND Monadelphous Group
20.2x8.2%AU$1.2b
SRG SRG Global
22.4x15.3%AU$721.7m
JLG Johns Lyng Group
25.7x11.9%AU$1.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: JLG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.7x) compared to the peer average (23x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does JLG's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Construction Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
JLG 25.7xIndustry Avg. 14.9xNo. of Companies3PE0816243240+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: JLG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.7x) compared to the Global Construction industry average (14.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is JLG's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

JLG PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio25.7x
Fair PE Ratio21.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: JLG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst JLG forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$4.41
AU$4.98
+12.9%
10.3%AU$6.10AU$4.40n/a12
Nov ’25AU$3.72
AU$4.98
+33.8%
10.3%AU$6.10AU$4.40n/a12
Oct ’25AU$3.79
AU$5.01
+32.3%
10.7%AU$6.10AU$4.20n/a12
Sep ’25AU$3.78
AU$5.44
+44.2%
17.3%AU$7.20AU$4.20n/a12
Aug ’25AU$5.83
AU$7.06
+21.1%
11.8%AU$8.65AU$5.26n/a12
Jul ’25AU$5.72
AU$7.02
+22.7%
11.7%AU$8.65AU$5.26n/a12
Jun ’25AU$5.63
AU$7.02
+24.7%
11.7%AU$8.65AU$5.26n/a12
May ’25AU$5.65
AU$7.02
+24.4%
11.7%AU$8.65AU$5.26n/a12
Apr ’25AU$6.40
AU$7.03
+9.8%
11.6%AU$8.65AU$5.26n/a12
Mar ’25AU$6.02
AU$7.19
+19.4%
8.9%AU$8.65AU$6.27n/a11
Feb ’25AU$6.64
AU$7.35
+10.7%
10.6%AU$9.00AU$5.79n/a12
Jan ’25AU$6.13
AU$7.22
+17.8%
14.5%AU$9.00AU$4.72n/a11
Dec ’24AU$5.76
AU$7.07
+22.8%
15.8%AU$9.00AU$4.72n/a12
Nov ’24AU$6.14
AU$7.07
+15.2%
15.8%AU$9.00AU$4.72AU$3.7212
Oct ’24AU$6.55
AU$7.15
+9.1%
16.5%AU$9.00AU$4.72AU$3.7911
Sep ’24AU$6.42
AU$7.10
+10.6%
16.8%AU$9.00AU$4.72AU$3.7811
Aug ’24AU$5.23
AU$7.17
+37.2%
17.1%AU$9.45AU$5.24AU$5.8311
Jul ’24AU$5.34
AU$7.08
+32.6%
16.2%AU$9.25AU$5.34AU$5.7211
Jun ’24AU$6.51
AU$8.11
+24.6%
14.8%AU$9.65AU$5.43AU$5.6312
May ’24AU$6.70
AU$8.19
+22.3%
15.0%AU$9.65AU$5.43AU$5.6511
Apr ’24AU$6.36
AU$8.46
+32.9%
10.9%AU$9.65AU$6.50AU$6.4010
Mar ’24AU$6.21
AU$8.18
+31.7%
15.1%AU$9.65AU$5.43AU$6.0211
Feb ’24AU$5.81
AU$8.01
+37.9%
16.9%AU$10.20AU$5.43AU$6.6410
Jan ’24AU$6.24
AU$8.01
+28.4%
16.9%AU$10.20AU$5.43AU$6.1310
Dec ’23AU$7.36
AU$8.01
+9.0%
16.9%AU$10.20AU$5.43AU$5.7610
Nov ’23AU$6.65
AU$8.01
+20.5%
16.9%AU$10.20AU$5.43AU$6.1410

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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