David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Zicom Group Limited (ASX:ZGL) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
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What Is Zicom Group's Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2022 Zicom Group had debt of S$29.1m, up from S$19.5m in one year. However, it does have S$14.1m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about S$15.1m.
How Strong Is Zicom Group's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Zicom Group had liabilities of S$58.9m due within 12 months and liabilities of S$15.5m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had S$14.1m in cash and S$26.7m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total S$33.6m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This deficit casts a shadow over the S$13.3m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Zicom Group would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Zicom Group will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
In the last year Zicom Group's revenue was pretty flat, and it made a negative EBIT. While that's not too bad, we'd prefer see growth.
Caveat Emptor
Importantly, Zicom Group had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Its EBIT loss was a whopping S$7.3m. If you consider the significant liabilities mentioned above, we are extremely wary of this investment. That said, it is possible that the company will turn its fortunes around. Nevertheless, we would not bet on it given that it vaporized S$6.4m in cash over the last twelve months, and it doesn't have much by way of liquid assets. So we consider this a high risk stock and we wouldn't be at all surprised if the company asks shareholders for money before long. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Zicom Group (2 are a bit concerning) you should be aware of.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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About ASX:ZGL
Zicom Group
Manufactures and sells marine deck machinery, fluid regulating and metering stations, transit concrete mixers, foundation and geotechnical equipment, and precision engineered and automation equipment in Australia, the Philippines, Singapore, China, Bangladesh, and internationally.
Good value with mediocre balance sheet.