Stock Analysis

XRF Scientific's (ASX:XRF) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

ASX:XRF
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XRF Scientific Limited (ASX:XRF) has announced that it will be increasing its periodic dividend on the 13th of October to A$0.033, which will be 32% higher than last year's comparable payment amount of A$0.025. This makes the dividend yield about the same as the industry average at 2.8%.

See our latest analysis for XRF Scientific

XRF Scientific's Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage

While it is always good to see a solid dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is feasible. The last dividend was quite easily covered by XRF Scientific's earnings. This indicates that a lot of the earnings are being reinvested into the business, with the aim of fueling growth.

Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 31.2% over the next year. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 48% by next year, which is in a pretty sustainable range.

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ASX:XRF Historic Dividend August 28th 2023

Dividend Volatility

Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. The annual payment during the last 10 years was A$0.017 in 2013, and the most recent fiscal year payment was A$0.033. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 6.9% a year over that time. It's good to see the dividend growing at a decent rate, but the dividend has been cut at least once in the past. XRF Scientific might have put its house in order since then, but we remain cautious.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. XRF Scientific has impressed us by growing EPS at 49% per year over the past five years. XRF Scientific is clearly able to grow rapidly while still returning cash to shareholders, positioning it to become a strong dividend payer in the future.

We Really Like XRF Scientific's Dividend

Overall, a dividend increase is always good, and we think that XRF Scientific is a strong income stock thanks to its track record and growing earnings. Earnings are easily covering distributions, and the company is generating plenty of cash. Taking this all into consideration, this looks like it could be a good dividend opportunity.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. Now, if you want to look closer, it would be worth checking out our free research on XRF Scientific management tenure, salary, and performance. Is XRF Scientific not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.