Stock Analysis

3 ASX Stocks Estimated Up To 49.6% Below Intrinsic Value

The Australian market has shown resilience with the ASX200 closing up 0.51% at 8,416 points, buoyed by a positive response to China’s measured reaction to tariffs and strong performances in sectors like Materials and IT. In this environment of fluctuating global trade dynamics, identifying undervalued stocks becomes crucial for investors seeking opportunities; these are stocks that may be trading below their intrinsic value despite broader market trends.

Top 10 Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows In Australia

NameCurrent PriceFair Value (Est)Discount (Est)
SKS Technologies Group (ASX:SKS)A$2.10A$3.8345.2%
Pureprofile (ASX:PPL)A$0.048A$0.09247.7%
Mader Group (ASX:MAD)A$6.23A$11.9047.6%
Atlas Arteria (ASX:ALX)A$5.01A$9.5947.8%
Symal Group (ASX:SYL)A$1.91A$3.7949.6%
MLG Oz (ASX:MLG)A$0.605A$1.1647.9%
ReadyTech Holdings (ASX:RDY)A$3.16A$6.1048.2%
Charter Hall Group (ASX:CHC)A$15.58A$28.7445.8%
SciDev (ASX:SDV)A$0.48A$0.8745%
South32 (ASX:S32)A$3.45A$6.6347.9%

Click here to see the full list of 47 stocks from our Undervalued ASX Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener.

Here we highlight a subset of our preferred stocks from the screener.

Nanosonics (ASX:NAN)

Overview: Nanosonics Limited is an infection prevention company operating globally, with a market cap of A$1.02 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue is primarily derived from its Healthcare Equipment segment, amounting to A$170.01 million.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 36%

Nanosonics is currently trading at A$3.35, significantly below its estimated fair value of A$5.23, suggesting it is undervalued based on discounted cash flow analysis. With forecasted earnings growth of 24.3% annually and revenue growth above the market average, the company shows promising financial prospects despite a recent decline in profit margins from 12% to 7.6%. The appointment of Gerard Dalbosco as an Independent Non-Executive Director could strengthen governance and strategic oversight moving forward.

ASX:NAN Discounted Cash Flow as at Feb 2025
ASX:NAN Discounted Cash Flow as at Feb 2025

South32 (ASX:S32)

Overview: South32 Limited is a diversified metals and mining company with a market capitalization of approximately A$15.22 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue is derived from various segments including Cannington ($631 million), Cerro Matoso ($556 million), Sierra Gorda ($647 million), Brazil Alumina ($484 million), Mozal Aluminium ($812 million), Worsley Alumina ($1.36 billion), Hillside Aluminium ($1.72 billion), Australia Manganese ($436 million), Brazil Aluminium (BA) ($242 million), and South Africa Manganese ($343 million).

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 47.9%

South32 is trading at A$3.45, well below its estimated fair value of A$6.63, indicating it is undervalued based on discounted cash flow analysis. The company forecasts earnings growth of 51.98% annually and revenue growth of 9.1%, outpacing the Australian market average. Recent production guidance and regulatory approvals for the Worsley Mine Development Project support its operational stability, while new board appointments may enhance strategic direction and governance effectiveness moving forward.

ASX:S32 Discounted Cash Flow as at Feb 2025
ASX:S32 Discounted Cash Flow as at Feb 2025

Symal Group (ASX:SYL)

Overview: Symal Group Limited operates in the civil construction industry in Australia, offering services such as construction contracting, equipment hires, material sales, recycling, and remediation, with a market cap of A$455.79 million.

Operations: The company generates revenue through its Asset Management (A$88.32 million), Major Infrastructure (A$485.98 million), Construction Services (A$171.86 million), and Plant, People and Logistics (A$21.95 million) segments in the civil construction industry in Australia.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 49.6%

Symal Group, trading at A$1.91, is significantly undervalued with an estimated fair value of A$3.79 based on discounted cash flow analysis. Its earnings are expected to grow annually by 16.8%, surpassing the Australian market's average growth rate of 12.4%. Despite slower revenue growth at 8.9% per year, it remains above market expectations. The recent IPO raised A$136 million, and new board appointments could strengthen governance and strategic oversight.

ASX:SYL Discounted Cash Flow as at Feb 2025
ASX:SYL Discounted Cash Flow as at Feb 2025

Seize The Opportunity

  • Navigate through the entire inventory of 47 Undervalued ASX Stocks Based On Cash Flows here.
  • Shareholder in one or more of these companies? Ensure you're never caught off-guard by adding your portfolio in Simply Wall St for timely alerts on significant stock developments.
  • Take control of your financial future using Simply Wall St, offering free, in-depth knowledge of international markets to every investor.

Contemplating Other Strategies?

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

The New Payments ETF Is Live on NASDAQ:

Money is moving to real-time rails, and a newly listed ETF now gives investors direct exposure. Fast settlement. Institutional custody. Simple access.

Explore how this launch could reshape portfolios

Sponsored Content

New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

About ASX:S32

South32

Operates as a diversified metals and mining company.

Excellent balance sheet with moderate growth potential.

Weekly Picks

AL
RKLB logo
AlexLovell on Rocket Lab ·

Early mover in a fast growing industry. Likely to experience share price volatility as they scale

Fair Value:US$16.25377.2% overvalued
43 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
14 users have liked this narrative
AG
Agricola
EXN logo
Agricola on Excellon Resources ·

A case for CA$31.80 (undiluted), aka 8,616% upside from CA$0.37 (an 86 bagger!).

Fair Value:CA$31.898.3% undervalued
50 users have followed this narrative
7 users have commented on this narrative
15 users have liked this narrative
FU
FundamentallySarcastic
CCP logo
FundamentallySarcastic on Credit Corp Group ·

Moderation and Stabilisation: HOLD: Fair Price based on a 4-year Cycle is $12.08

Fair Value:AU$12.6411.9% overvalued
8 users have followed this narrative
1 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Updated Narratives

IN
Investingwilly
NFLX logo
Investingwilly on Netflix ·

Positioned to Win as the Streaming Wars Settle

Fair Value:US$135.0231.0% undervalued
2 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
YI
META logo
yiannisz on Meta Platforms ·

Meta’s Bold Bet on AI Pays Off

Fair Value:US$723.118.5% undervalued
33 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
YI
ADP logo
yiannisz on Automatic Data Processing ·

ADP Stock: Solid Fundamentals, But AI Investments Test Its Margin Resilience

Fair Value:US$387.7733.0% undervalued
14 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Popular Narratives

RO
RockeTeller
SCZ logo
RockeTeller on Santacruz Silver Mining ·

Crazy Undervalued 42 Baggers Silver Play (Active & Running Mine)

Fair Value:CA$8685.5% undervalued
83 users have followed this narrative
8 users have commented on this narrative
23 users have liked this narrative
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
NVDA logo
AnalystConsensusTarget on NVIDIA ·

NVDA: Expanding AI Demand Will Drive Major Data Center Investments Through 2026

Fair Value:US$250.3926.6% undervalued
981 users have followed this narrative
6 users have commented on this narrative
26 users have liked this narrative
RO
RobertoAllende
NVDA logo
RobertoAllende on NVIDIA ·

The AI Infrastructure Giant Grows Into Its Valuation

Fair Value:US$345.0746.8% undervalued
44 users have followed this narrative
28 users have commented on this narrative
24 users have liked this narrative