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These 4 Measures Indicate That Emeco Holdings (ASX:EHL) Is Using Debt Extensively
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Emeco Holdings Limited (ASX:EHL) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Emeco Holdings
How Much Debt Does Emeco Holdings Carry?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Emeco Holdings had AU$256.5m of debt in December 2020, down from AU$461.0m, one year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of AU$71.8m, its net debt is less, at about AU$184.6m.
How Healthy Is Emeco Holdings' Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Emeco Holdings had liabilities of AU$136.4m due within 12 months and liabilities of AU$285.7m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of AU$71.8m and AU$106.7m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling AU$243.6m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
This deficit isn't so bad because Emeco Holdings is worth AU$561.3m, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Emeco Holdings has a very low debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.83 so it is strange to see weak interest coverage, with last year's EBIT being only 1.4 times the interest expense. So one way or the other, it's clear the debt levels are not trivial. Sadly, Emeco Holdings's EBIT actually dropped 4.1% in the last year. If earnings continue on that decline then managing that debt will be difficult like delivering hot soup on a unicycle. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Emeco Holdings's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. In the last three years, Emeco Holdings's free cash flow amounted to 36% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.
Our View
Emeco Holdings's interest cover was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered cast it in a significantly better light. For example, its net debt to EBITDA is relatively strong. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think Emeco Holdings's debt poses some risks to the business. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Emeco Holdings is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those can't be ignored...
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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About ASX:EHL
Emeco Holdings
Provides surface and underground mining equipment rental, complementary equipment, and mining services in Australia.
Very undervalued with solid track record.