Stock Analysis

ASX September 2024's Top Stocks Estimated Below Fair Value

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The Australian market has shown mixed performance recently, with the Materials sector gaining 9.0% while the overall market remained flat over the last week, yet rising 16% in the past 12 months. In this context of anticipated annual earnings growth of 12%, identifying undervalued stocks that are trading below their fair value can present significant opportunities for investors seeking to capitalize on potential gains.

Top 10 Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows In Australia

NameCurrent PriceFair Value (Est)Discount (Est)
EZZ Life Science Holdings (ASX:EZZ)A$4.53A$8.7748.3%
DroneShield (ASX:DRO)A$1.365A$2.6849.1%
Genesis Minerals (ASX:GMD)A$2.06A$3.9347.5%
MLG Oz (ASX:MLG)A$0.615A$1.1546.3%
Ingenia Communities Group (ASX:INA)A$5.03A$9.3846.4%
MedAdvisor (ASX:MDR)A$0.425A$0.8549.9%
Millennium Services Group (ASX:MIL)A$1.145A$2.2448.9%
Little Green Pharma (ASX:LGP)A$0.09A$0.1746.8%
Ai-Media Technologies (ASX:AIM)A$0.755A$1.4246.8%
Superloop (ASX:SLC)A$1.725A$3.3147.9%

Click here to see the full list of 46 stocks from our Undervalued ASX Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener.

Here's a peek at a few of the choices from the screener.

DroneShield (ASX:DRO)

Overview: DroneShield Limited develops, commercializes, and sells hardware and software technology for drone detection and security in Australia and the United States, with a market cap of A$1.19 billion.

Operations: The company generates revenue primarily from its Aerospace & Defense segment, which amounted to A$67.52 million.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 49.1%

DroneShield is trading at A$1.37, significantly below its estimated fair value of A$2.68. Despite a net loss of A$4.8 million for the half year, revenue surged to A$23.99 million from A$11.55 million last year, reflecting strong growth potential. Recent board additions and index inclusions further bolster its strategic positioning. However, shareholders have faced dilution due to a recent equity offering worth A$120 million, impacting short-term returns despite long-term growth prospects.

ASX:DRO Discounted Cash Flow as at Sep 2024

PWR Holdings (ASX:PWH)

Overview: PWR Holdings Limited designs, prototypes, produces, tests, validates, and sells cooling products and solutions globally with a market cap of A$910.10 million.

Operations: The company's revenue segments include PWR C&R at A$41.98 million and PWR Performance Products at A$111.26 million.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 15.4%

PWR Holdings is trading at A$9.05, below its fair value estimate of A$10.7. The company reported annual sales of A$97.53 million and net income of A$20.99 million, showing robust earnings growth over the past five years at 12.9% per year. Forecasts indicate earnings will grow 14.99% annually, outpacing the Australian market's 12.2%. Recent board changes and a dividend increase to AUD 0.092 per share highlight ongoing strategic adjustments and shareholder returns.

ASX:PWH Discounted Cash Flow as at Sep 2024

Westgold Resources (ASX:WGX)

Overview: Westgold Resources Limited is involved in the exploration, operation, development, mining, and treatment of gold and other assets primarily in Western Australia with a market cap of A$2.52 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue segments are Bryah, contributing A$183.25 million, and Murchison, generating A$533.23 million.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 32.4%

Westgold Resources, trading at A$2.67, is significantly undervalued compared to its fair value estimate of A$3.95. Recent inclusion in the S&P/ASX 200 Index and increased production guidance for FY25 highlight operational improvements. Earnings grew substantially over the past year, with net income rising from A$10 million to A$95.23 million. The company's accelerated drilling programs and new discoveries at Beta Hunt and South Junction indicate strong future cash flows, supporting its undervaluation thesis based on cash flows.

ASX:WGX Discounted Cash Flow as at Sep 2024

Taking Advantage

  • Navigate through the entire inventory of 46 Undervalued ASX Stocks Based On Cash Flows here.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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