Is Austin Engineering (ASX:ANG) A Risky Investment?

By
Simply Wall St
Published
December 24, 2021
ASX:ANG
Source: Shutterstock

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Austin Engineering Limited (ASX:ANG) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Austin Engineering

How Much Debt Does Austin Engineering Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2021 Austin Engineering had AU$18.3m of debt, an increase on AU$9.23m, over one year. However, it also had AU$9.82m in cash, and so its net debt is AU$8.47m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ASX:ANG Debt to Equity History December 24th 2021

How Strong Is Austin Engineering's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Austin Engineering had liabilities of AU$74.5m due within a year, and liabilities of AU$12.1m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of AU$9.82m as well as receivables valued at AU$48.1m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling AU$28.6m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Austin Engineering has a market capitalization of AU$128.0m, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

While Austin Engineering's low debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.51 suggests only modest use of debt, the fact that EBIT only covered the interest expense by 5.7 times last year does give us pause. But the interest payments are certainly sufficient to have us thinking about how affordable its debt is. Importantly, Austin Engineering's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 35% in the last twelve months. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Austin Engineering's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. In the last three years, Austin Engineering's free cash flow amounted to 28% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

Austin Engineering's struggle to grow its EBIT had us second guessing its balance sheet strength, but the other data-points we considered were relatively redeeming. For example its net debt to EBITDA was refreshing. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that Austin Engineering is taking some risks with its use of debt. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 4 warning signs we've spotted with Austin Engineering .

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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