Australian Finance Group Limited (ASX:AFG), operating in the financial services industry based in Australia, received a lot of attention from a substantial price increase on the ASX over the last few months. As a small cap stock, which tends to lack high analyst coverage, there is generally more of an opportunity for mispricing as there is less activity to push the stock closer to fair value. Is there still an opportunity here to buy? Let’s examine Australian Finance Group’s valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there’s still a bargain opportunity.
What is Australian Finance Group worth?According to my valuation model, Australian Finance Group seems to be fairly priced at around 18% below my intrinsic value, which means if you buy Australian Finance Group today, you’d be paying a reasonable price for it. And if you believe the company’s true value is A$1.4, then there isn’t much room for the share price grow beyond what it’s currently trading. What’s more, Australian Finance Group’s share price may be more stable over time (relative to the market), as indicated by its low beta.
Can we expect growth from Australian Finance Group?Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company’s future expectations. Though in the case of Australian Finance Group, it is expected to deliver a relatively unexciting earnings growth of 1.5%, which doesn’t help build up its investment thesis. Growth doesn’t appear to be a main reason for a buy decision for the company, at least in the near term.
What this means for you:
Are you a shareholder? AFG’s future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuates below the true value?
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on AFG, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the positive outlook means it’s worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.
Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on Australian Finance Group. You can find everything you need to know about Australian Finance Group in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in Australian Finance Group, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.
We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.
If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at firstname.lastname@example.org. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.