Stock Analysis

What Does ARB Corporation Limited's (ASX:ARB) Share Price Indicate?

ARB Corporation Limited (ASX:ARB), might not be a large cap stock, but it received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the ASX over the last few months, increasing to AU$43.09 at one point, and dropping to the lows of AU$36.45. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether ARB's current trading price of AU$39.63 reflective of the actual value of the mid-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at ARB’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

See our latest analysis for ARB

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Is ARB Still Cheap?

The stock is currently trading at AU$39.63 on the share market, which means it is overvalued by 29% compared to our intrinsic value of A$30.72. This means that the buying opportunity has probably disappeared for now. In addition to this, it seems like ARB’s share price is quite stable, which could mean two things: firstly, it may take the share price a while to fall back down to an attractive buying range, and secondly, there may be less chances to buy low in the future once it reaches that value. This is because the stock is less volatile than the wider market given its low beta.

What does the future of ARB look like?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
ASX:ARB Earnings and Revenue Growth August 10th 2024

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. With profit expected to grow by 38% over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for ARB. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has well and truly priced in ARB’s positive outlook, with shares trading above its fair value. However, this brings up another question – is now the right time to sell? If you believe ARB should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on ARB for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its true value, which means there’s no upside from mispricing. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for ARB, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

Diving deeper into the forecasts for ARB mentioned earlier will help you understand how analysts view the stock going forward. At Simply Wall St, we have the analysts estimates which you can view by clicking here.

If you are no longer interested in ARB, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About ASX:ARB

ARB

Engages in the design, manufacture, distribution, and sale of motor vehicle accessories and light metal engineering works.

Flawless balance sheet average dividend payer.

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