Stock Analysis

Österreichische Post (VIE:POST) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

WBAG:POST
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Österreichische Post AG (VIE:POST) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Österreichische Post

What Is Österreichische Post's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2022 Österreichische Post had €129.8m of debt, an increase on €73.0m, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of €120.1m, its net debt is less, at about €9.70m.

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WBAG:POST Debt to Equity History May 3rd 2023

How Healthy Is Österreichische Post's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Österreichische Post had liabilities of €3.79b due within a year, and liabilities of €881.0m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had €120.1m in cash and €487.2m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total €4.07b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit casts a shadow over the €2.27b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Österreichische Post would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. Österreichische Post may have virtually no net debt, but it does have a lot of liabilities.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

With debt at a measly 0.033 times EBITDA and EBIT covering interest a whopping 16.4 times, it's clear that Österreichische Post is not a desperate borrower. Indeed relative to its earnings its debt load seems light as a feather. Fortunately, Österreichische Post grew its EBIT by 5.0% in the last year, making that debt load look even more manageable. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Österreichische Post can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Österreichische Post actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Our View

Österreichische Post's level of total liabilities was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered were considerably better. There's no doubt that its ability to to cover its interest expense with its EBIT is pretty flash. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about Österreichische Post's use of debt. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Österreichische Post that you should be aware of before investing here.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.