Stock Analysis

We're Not So Sure You Should Rely on CA Immobilien Anlagen's (VIE:CAI) Statutory Earnings

WBAG:CAI
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Many investors consider it preferable to invest in profitable companies over unprofitable ones, because profitability suggests a business is sustainable. However, sometimes companies receive a one-off boost (or reduction) to their profit, and it's not always clear whether statutory profits are a good guide, going forward. This article will consider whether CA Immobilien Anlagen's (VIE:CAI) statutory profits are a good guide to its underlying earnings.

We like the fact that CA Immobilien Anlagen made a profit of €303.4m on its revenue of €339.4m, in the last year. Even though its revenue is down over the last three years, its profit has actually increased, as you can see, below.

See our latest analysis for CA Immobilien Anlagen

earnings-and-revenue-history
WBAG:CAI Earnings and Revenue History January 28th 2021

Importantly, statutory profits are not always the best tool for understanding a company's true earnings power, so it's well worth examining profits in a little more detail. Therefore, we think it is well worth considering the impact that unusual items and a spike in non-operating revenue have had on CA Immobilien Anlagen's statutory profit result. That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Operating Revenue Or Not?

At most companies, some revenue streams, such as government grants, are accounted for as non-operating revenue, while the core business is said to produce operating revenue. Where possible, we prefer rely on operating revenue to get a better understanding of how the business is functioning. However, we note that when non-operating revenue increases suddenly, it will sometimes generate an unsustainable boost to profit. It's worth noting that CA Immobilien Anlagen saw a big increase in non-operating revenue over the last year. In fact, our data indicates that non-operating revenue increased from €301.8m to €339.4m. The high levels of non-operating are problematic because if (and when) they do not repeat, then overall revenue (and profitability) of the firm will fall. Sometimes, you can get a better idea of the underlying earnings potential of a company by excluding unusual boosts to non-operating revenue.

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

As well as that spike in non-operating revenue, we should also consider the €236m boost to profit coming from unusual items, over the last year. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. CA Immobilien Anlagen had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to September 2020. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.

Our Take On CA Immobilien Anlagen's Profit Performance

In the last year CA Immobilien Anlagen's non-operating revenue really gave it a boost, but not in a way that is necessarily going to be sustained. Furthermore, unusual items also made a nice positive contribution to its profit, which may well drop next year (all else being equal) if these phenomena are not repeated. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at CA Immobilien Anlagen's statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. When we did our research, we found 4 warning signs for CA Immobilien Anlagen (1 is a bit concerning!) that we believe deserve your full attention.

Our examination of CA Immobilien Anlagen has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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