Marriott International, Inc.

WBAG:MAR Stock Report

Market Cap: €67.1b

Marriott International Valuation

Is MAR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MAR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MAR (€240.15) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€292.21)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MAR is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MAR?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

MAR key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue13.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA20.4x
PEG Ratio3.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MAR's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MAR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average29x
HLT Hilton Worldwide Holdings
48.5x16.6%US$58.1b
ABNB Airbnb
17.5x-0.2%US$84.0b
TCOM Trip.com Group
21.3x8.8%US$41.6b
BKNG Booking Holdings
28.6x11.7%US$143.8b
MAR Marriott International
25.2x6.4%€73.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MAR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.2x) compared to the peer average (29x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MAR's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Hospitality Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a23.3%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a23.3%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MAR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.2x) compared to the European Hospitality industry average (18.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MAR's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MAR PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio25.2x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate MAR's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MAR forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€240.15
€219.85
-8.5%
7.4%€247.58€175.56n/a25
Oct ’25€222.15
€219.85
-1.0%
7.4%€247.58€175.56n/a25
Sep ’25€208.95
€221.15
+5.8%
7.2%€248.82€176.44n/a24
Aug ’25€203.90
€227.44
+11.5%
7.4%€254.84€185.34n/a23
Jul ’25€223.15
€231.12
+3.6%
7.1%€259.99€187.04n/a23
Jun ’25€210.35
€227.92
+8.4%
7.1%€256.90€184.82n/a22
May ’25€221.55
€230.08
+3.9%
6.8%€257.21€187.06n/a23
Apr ’25€234.20
€227.00
-3.1%
7.2%€253.72€184.52n/a24
Mar ’25€230.20
€225.43
-2.1%
7.4%€254.43€185.04n/a23
Feb ’25€220.60
€206.72
-6.3%
10.2%€249.02€147.57n/a23
Jan ’25€202.65
€192.79
-4.9%
8.6%€215.46€144.85n/a23
Dec ’24€190.74
€189.22
-0.8%
8.6%€214.18€145.82n/a21
Nov ’24€177.26
€198.04
+11.7%
8.1%€221.86€151.06n/a22
Oct ’24€186.10
€196.88
+5.8%
7.9%€222.50€151.49€222.1521
Sep ’24€190.44
€188.78
-0.9%
8.5%€211.99€147.47€208.9522
Aug ’24€185.94
€179.91
-3.2%
7.2%€209.42€158.43€203.9020
Jul ’24€168.28
€171.22
+1.7%
5.8%€194.30€154.16€223.1520
Jun ’24€158.96
€174.12
+9.5%
5.6%€197.96€157.07€210.3520
May ’24€149.52
€164.71
+10.2%
5.3%€186.86€153.13€221.5520
Apr ’24€152.86
€165.55
+8.3%
5.2%€187.96€154.04€234.2020
Mar ’24€158.62
€171.77
+8.3%
5.5%€194.32€155.46€230.2019
Feb ’24€158.76
€158.73
-0.02%
6.6%€177.54€140.74€220.6019
Jan ’24€137.48
€162.97
+18.5%
6.3%€178.81€143.99€202.6521
Dec ’23€157.26
€165.93
+5.5%
6.5%€184.02€147.21€190.7420
Nov ’23€162.68
€174.93
+7.5%
6.3%€194.48€156.61€177.2620
Oct ’23€146.42
€176.25
+20.4%
6.4%€196.06€155.82€186.1020

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


Discover undervalued companies