Expedia Group, Inc.

WBAG:EXPE Stock Report

Market Cap: €22.1b

Expedia Group Valuation

Is EXPE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of EXPE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: EXPE (€176.98) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€415.65)

Significantly Below Fair Value: EXPE is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for EXPE?

Key metric: As EXPE is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for EXPE. This is calculated by dividing EXPE's market cap by their current earnings.
What is EXPE's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio22.2x
EarningsUS$1.07b
Market CapUS$23.03b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does EXPE's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for EXPE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average34.6x
IHG InterContinental Hotels Group
31x11.0%UK£15.7b
AMS Amadeus IT Group
23.4x10.7%€29.7b
500850 Indian Hotels
72.7x15.7%₹1.2t
H Hyatt Hotels
11.1x-32.4%US$14.9b
EXPE Expedia Group
22.2x15.3%€23.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: EXPE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.2x) compared to the peer average (34.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does EXPE's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Hospitality Industry?

10 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
EXPE 22.2xIndustry Avg. 17.5xNo. of Companies15PE01224364860+
10 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: EXPE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.2x) compared to the European Hospitality industry average (17.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is EXPE's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

EXPE PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio22.2x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate EXPE's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst EXPE forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€176.98
€178.46
+0.8%
12.7%€215.64€113.09n/a34
Dec ’25€176.10
€177.92
+1.0%
10.9%€214.76€138.40n/a33
Nov ’25€147.26
€142.55
-3.2%
13.4%€185.28€109.32n/a32
Oct ’25€131.40
€134.13
+2.1%
14.0%€179.12€105.68n/a33
Sep ’25€125.64
€133.60
+6.3%
14.2%€179.32€105.80n/a31
Aug ’25€113.40
€136.33
+20.2%
14.3%€185.00€109.15n/a31
Jul ’25€114.30
€137.55
+20.3%
14.5%€186.70€110.15n/a31
Jun ’25€101.84
€134.99
+32.5%
15.1%€184.68€101.57n/a32
May ’25€126.40
€151.31
+19.7%
12.3%€186.54€121.25n/a33
Apr ’25€128.14
€149.40
+16.6%
12.2%€184.08€119.65n/a33
Mar ’25€125.94
€151.02
+19.9%
12.1%€185.62€120.65n/a33
Feb ’25€135.52
€145.51
+7.4%
15.7%€184.66€106.18n/a33
Jan ’25€138.64
€128.11
-7.6%
19.8%€181.16€81.52n/a32
Dec ’24€127.62
€122.92
-3.7%
19.6%€182.28€82.03€176.1032
Nov ’24€89.03
€118.46
+33.1%
19.0%€188.38€84.77€147.2632
Oct ’24€98.02
€118.58
+21.0%
19.1%€187.18€84.23€131.4030
Sep ’24€101.44
€118.58
+16.9%
19.8%€183.32€82.49€125.6430
Aug ’24€109.32
€120.16
+9.9%
19.1%€181.88€81.85€113.4031
Jul ’24€100.32
€118.61
+18.2%
20.5%€183.28€82.48€114.3030
Jun ’24€91.59
€118.87
+29.8%
19.3%€162.47€83.56€101.8427
May ’24€82.89
€120.18
+45.0%
17.2%€159.51€82.04€126.4027
Apr ’24€89.31
€125.17
+40.2%
15.7%€162.65€83.65€128.1428
Mar ’24€100.10
€127.26
+27.1%
15.6%€164.97€94.27€125.9428
Feb ’24€105.38
€116.94
+11.0%
20.6%€161.29€77.89€135.5228
Jan ’24€80.90
€121.56
+50.3%
20.0%€166.04€80.19€138.6427
Dec ’23€102.42
€129.04
+26.0%
20.2%€184.40€97.05€127.6226

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/20 10:07
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Expedia Group, Inc. is covered by 74 analysts. 32 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
John StaszakArgus Research Company
Edward WooAscendiant Capital Markets LLC
Michael BellisarioBaird