Vossloh Valuation

Is VOS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of VOS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: VOS (€41.8) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€77.2)

Significantly Below Fair Value: VOS is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for VOS?

Key metric: As VOS is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for VOS. This is calculated by dividing VOS's market cap by their current earnings.
What is VOS's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio14.3x
Earnings€56.70m
Market Cap€810.50m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does VOS's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for VOS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.2x
PAL Palfinger
6.3x-0.3%€678.0m
ROS Rosenbauer International
31.9x62.6%€236.6m
POS PORR
6.7x15.8%€602.5m
SEM Semperit Holding
15.8x47.0%€233.3m
VOS Vossloh
14.3x10.6%€810.5m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: VOS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.3x) compared to the peer average (15.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does VOS's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Machinery Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
VOS 14.3xIndustry Avg. 17.4xNo. of Companies29PE01020304050+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: VOS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.3x) compared to the European Machinery industry average (17.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is VOS's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

VOS PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio14.3x
Fair PE Ratio9.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: VOS is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst VOS forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€41.80
€56.48
+35.1%
6.8%€61.00€48.50n/a8
Nov ’25€43.10
€56.48
+31.0%
6.8%€61.00€48.50n/a8
Oct ’25€48.65
€56.73
+16.6%
6.7%€61.00€48.50n/a8
Sep ’25€48.15
€55.10
+14.4%
8.4%€60.00€47.00n/a8
Aug ’25€47.70
€55.10
+15.5%
8.4%€60.00€47.00n/a8
Jul ’25€47.45
€53.29
+12.3%
7.2%€58.00€47.00n/a8
Jun ’25€47.70
€52.73
+10.5%
6.6%€58.00€47.00n/a8
May ’25€45.40
€51.98
+14.5%
6.0%€58.00€47.00n/a8
Apr ’25€45.75
€51.75
+13.1%
5.8%€58.00€47.00n/a9
Mar ’25€41.00
€48.97
+19.4%
7.6%€53.25€42.00n/a8
Feb ’25€40.85
€48.97
+19.9%
7.6%€53.25€42.00n/a8
Jan ’25€42.10
€48.97
+16.3%
7.6%€53.25€42.00n/a8
Dec ’24€40.10
€49.09
+22.4%
7.2%€53.25€42.00n/a8
Nov ’24€36.95
€48.94
+32.4%
6.9%€52.00€42.00€43.108
Oct ’24€39.55
€48.81
+23.4%
6.9%€52.00€42.00€48.658
Sep ’24€41.35
€48.81
+18.0%
6.9%€52.00€42.00€48.158
Aug ’24€40.55
€48.56
+19.8%
8.0%€52.00€40.00€47.708
Jul ’24€41.05
€48.48
+18.1%
7.9%€52.00€40.00€47.458
Jun ’24€40.00
€47.86
+19.6%
7.3%€51.37€40.00€47.708
May ’24€41.45
€47.36
+14.3%
7.3%€51.00€40.00€45.407
Apr ’24€42.70
€45.50
+6.6%
6.6%€49.00€40.00€45.756
Mar ’24€40.70
€45.00
+10.6%
8.7%€50.00€38.00€41.006
Feb ’24€40.90
€45.00
+10.0%
8.7%€50.00€38.00€40.856
Jan ’24€39.30
€46.43
+18.1%
14.0%€58.00€35.00€42.107
Dec ’23€41.80
€46.43
+11.1%
14.0%€58.00€35.00€40.107
Nov ’23€36.70
€46.29
+26.1%
14.2%€58.00€35.00€36.957

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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