Palfinger Valuation

Is PAL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PAL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: PAL (€19.8) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€28.4)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PAL is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PAL?

Key metric: As PAL is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for PAL. This is calculated by dividing PAL's market cap by their current earnings.
What is PAL's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio6.4x
Earnings€107.54m
Market Cap€688.38m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does PAL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for PAL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13.9x
ROS Rosenbauer International
19.9x53.8%€241.4m
POS PORR
6.4x14.3%€577.2m
SEM Semperit Holding
15.5x47.0%€232.5m
FACC FACC
13.8x43.3%€288.9m
PAL Palfinger
6.4x-0.3%€688.4m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PAL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.4x) compared to the peer average (13.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PAL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Machinery Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
PAL 6.4xIndustry Avg. 17.5xNo. of Companies27PE01020304050+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PAL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.4x) compared to the European Machinery industry average (17.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PAL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PAL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio6.4x
Fair PE Ratio7.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: PAL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PAL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€19.80
€26.38
+33.2%
10.2%€30.50€24.00n/a4
Nov ’25€20.20
€26.38
+30.6%
10.2%€30.50€24.00n/a4
Oct ’25€21.95
€29.88
+36.1%
15.8%€37.00€24.00n/a4
Sep ’25€21.80
€29.88
+37.0%
15.8%€37.00€24.00n/a4
Aug ’25€22.80
€29.88
+31.0%
15.8%€37.00€24.00n/a4
Jul ’25€22.30
€29.63
+32.8%
17.0%€37.00€23.00n/a4
Jun ’25€24.05
€29.63
+23.2%
17.0%€37.00€23.00n/a4
May ’25€21.10
€29.63
+40.4%
17.0%€37.00€23.00n/a4
Apr ’25€23.05
€29.88
+29.6%
15.8%€37.00€24.00n/a4
Mar ’25€24.20
€29.88
+23.5%
15.8%€37.00€24.00n/a4
Feb ’25€24.40
€29.63
+21.4%
14.7%€36.00€24.00n/a4
Jan ’25€25.20
€29.63
+17.6%
14.7%€36.00€24.00n/a4
Dec ’24€23.15
€29.63
+28.0%
14.7%€36.00€24.00n/a4
Nov ’24€22.00
€30.63
+39.2%
10.7%€36.00€28.00€20.204
Oct ’24€22.35
€32.38
+44.9%
19.2%€43.00€28.00€21.954
Sep ’24€24.55
€32.90
+34.0%
17.2%€43.00€28.00€21.805
Aug ’24€25.90
€35.30
+36.3%
15.9%€43.00€28.00€22.805
Jul ’24€27.90
€37.70
+35.1%
11.7%€43.00€30.50€22.305
Jun ’24€28.45
€36.50
+28.3%
11.9%€43.00€30.00€24.056
May ’24€29.85
€36.50
+22.3%
11.9%€43.00€30.00€21.106
Apr ’24€28.75
€36.33
+26.4%
11.3%€42.00€30.00€23.056
Mar ’24€31.70
€36.00
+13.6%
11.2%€42.00€30.00€24.206
Feb ’24€28.20
€31.33
+11.1%
15.2%€40.00€24.00€24.406
Jan ’24€23.65
€31.00
+31.1%
13.4%€38.00€24.00€25.206
Dec ’23€24.95
€31.00
+24.2%
13.4%€38.00€24.00€23.156
Nov ’23€23.15
€30.52
+31.8%
16.0%€38.00€24.00€22.006

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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