KION GROUP Valuation

Is KGX undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of KGX when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: KGX (€34.34) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€76.92)

Significantly Below Fair Value: KGX is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for KGX?

Key metric: As KGX is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for KGX. This is calculated by dividing KGX's market cap by their current earnings.
What is KGX's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio13.6x
Earnings€332.20m
Market Cap€4.50b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does KGX's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for KGX vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average11x
PAL Palfinger
6.4x-0.3%€690.5m
ROS Rosenbauer International
20x49.1%€242.1m
ANDR Andritz
10.3x8.8%€5.2b
STR Strabag
7.2x-5.6%€4.6b
KGX KION GROUP
13.6x17.4%€4.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: KGX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.6x) compared to the peer average (11x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does KGX's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Machinery Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
KGX 13.6xIndustry Avg. 17.5xNo. of Companies29PE01224364860+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: KGX is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.6x) compared to the European Machinery industry average (17.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is KGX's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

KGX PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.6x
Fair PE Ratio14.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: KGX is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst KGX forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€34.34
€47.81
+39.2%
14.6%€63.00€37.00n/a18
Nov ’25€36.38
€48.75
+34.0%
15.4%€65.00€37.00n/a18
Oct ’25€34.69
€50.85
+46.6%
15.4%€67.00€37.00n/a17
Sep ’25€34.86
€53.16
+52.5%
13.0%€67.00€43.00n/a16
Aug ’25€34.41
€53.85
+56.5%
13.4%€67.00€43.00n/a17
Jul ’25€39.62
€55.30
+39.6%
16.5%€75.00€40.60n/a17
Jun ’25€43.04
€54.89
+27.5%
18.6%€75.00€34.00n/a18
May ’25€44.06
€53.16
+20.7%
22.4%€75.00€26.00n/a19
Apr ’25€48.74
€52.40
+7.5%
22.5%€75.00€26.00n/a19
Mar ’25€47.36
€47.68
+0.7%
26.2%€71.00€23.00n/a20
Feb ’25€41.97
€45.93
+9.4%
25.2%€68.00€23.00n/a21
Jan ’25€38.86
€43.40
+11.7%
24.0%€64.00€23.00n/a21
Dec ’24€34.50
€43.57
+26.3%
23.6%€64.00€23.00n/a21
Nov ’24€28.90
€43.71
+51.3%
22.6%€64.00€23.00€36.3821
Oct ’24€36.38
€45.80
+25.9%
20.8%€65.00€23.00€34.6920
Sep ’24€38.17
€45.83
+20.1%
21.1%€65.00€24.00€34.8618
Aug ’24€37.97
€45.83
+20.7%
21.1%€65.00€24.00€34.4118
Jul ’24€36.91
€44.28
+20.0%
20.6%€64.00€24.00€39.6218
Jun ’24€32.98
€43.83
+32.9%
21.8%€63.00€20.00€43.0418
May ’24€37.29
€43.78
+17.4%
21.9%€63.00€20.00€44.0618
Apr ’24€35.67
€41.78
+17.1%
21.0%€55.00€20.00€48.7418
Mar ’24€37.98
€40.78
+7.4%
21.2%€55.00€20.00€47.3618
Feb ’24€38.59
€40.44
+4.8%
21.2%€55.00€20.00€41.9718
Jan ’24€26.85
€36.37
+35.5%
25.6%€55.00€17.00€38.8618
Dec ’23€28.00
€36.37
+29.9%
25.6%€55.00€17.00€34.5018
Nov ’23€23.22
€43.26
+86.3%
48.2%€120.00€26.00€28.9018

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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