Bank of China Valuation

Is BOCN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BOCN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BOCN (€0.47) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€1.6)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BOCN is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BOCN?

Key metric: As BOCN is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for BOCN. This is calculated by dividing BOCN's market cap by their current earnings.
What is BOCN's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio4.8x
EarningsCN¥217.51b
Market CapCN¥1.41t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BOCN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BOCN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average8.4x
EBS Erste Group Bank
7.7x-2.0%€23.8b
BG BAWAG Group
9.4x6.5%€6.3b
RBI Raiffeisen Bank International
2.9x-7.9%€6.5b
OBS Oberbank
13.6xn/a€4.9b
BOCN Bank of China
4.8x4.9%€1.5t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BOCN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.8x) compared to the peer average (8.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BOCN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Banks Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
BOCN 4.8xIndustry Avg. 7.7xNo. of Companies40PE0612182430+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BOCN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.8x) compared to the European Banks industry average (7.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BOCN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BOCN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio4.8x
Fair PE Ratio7.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: BOCN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BOCN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€0.47
€0.51
+8.3%
9.4%€0.57€0.42n/a15
Dec ’25€0.44
€0.50
+14.2%
9.4%€0.57€0.42n/a15
Nov ’25€0.45
€0.49
+9.7%
9.8%€0.56€0.40n/a16
Oct ’25€0.42
€0.48
+13.2%
9.7%€0.57€0.40n/a16
Sep ’25€0.41
€0.48
+17.0%
9.2%€0.57€0.40n/a16
Aug ’25€0.41
€0.49
+19.5%
8.8%€0.58€0.40n/a16
Jul ’25€0.46
€0.48
+5.5%
9.2%€0.58€0.40n/a17
Jun ’25€0.44
€0.46
+5.3%
12.2%€0.57€0.31n/a17
May ’25€0.42
€0.44
+5.2%
12.3%€0.58€0.32n/a17
Apr ’25€0.38
€0.43
+14.5%
12.3%€0.52€0.29n/a16
Mar ’25€0.36
€0.42
+14.4%
8.9%€0.49€0.32n/a16
Feb ’25€0.34
€0.41
+20.2%
10.2%€0.50€0.32n/a17
Jan ’25€0.34
€0.41
+22.6%
11.6%€0.50€0.32n/a17
Dec ’24€0.33
€0.42
+25.6%
11.7%€0.50€0.32€0.4418
Nov ’24€0.34
€0.42
+26.4%
11.9%€0.51€0.32€0.4518
Oct ’24€0.33
€0.42
+27.8%
11.4%€0.51€0.33€0.4218
Sep ’24€0.31
€0.41
+32.1%
11.4%€0.52€0.32€0.4119
Aug ’24€0.34
€0.43
+27.0%
14.6%€0.61€0.32€0.4118
Jul ’24€0.37
€0.43
+16.2%
14.0%€0.61€0.32€0.4617
Jun ’24€0.36
€0.43
+19.1%
14.8%€0.62€0.32€0.4418
May ’24€0.36
€0.42
+14.8%
11.1%€0.49€0.32€0.4216
Apr ’24€0.35
€0.42
+18.9%
12.9%€0.51€0.32€0.3816
Mar ’24€0.35
€0.43
+22.7%
12.9%€0.53€0.33€0.3618
Feb ’24€0.35
€0.43
+23.3%
12.6%€0.53€0.33€0.3419
Jan ’24€0.34
€0.43
+25.8%
12.8%€0.52€0.33€0.3419
Dec ’23€0.33
€0.43
+27.9%
11.4%€0.52€0.34€0.3320

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/18 10:03
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/18 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Bank of China Limited is covered by 74 analysts. 13 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Meizhi YanBarclays
Dorris ChenBNP Paribas Securities (Asia)
Wenzhou HuBOCI Research Ltd.