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Presight AI Holding's (ADX:PRESIGHT) Conservative Accounting Might Explain Soft Earnings
Investors were disappointed with the weak earnings posted by Presight AI Holding PLC (ADX:PRESIGHT ). However, our analysis suggests that the soft headline numbers are getting counterbalanced by some positive underlying factors.
Examining Cashflow Against Presight AI Holding's Earnings
In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.
Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.
Over the twelve months to June 2025, Presight AI Holding recorded an accrual ratio of -0.26. Therefore, its statutory earnings were very significantly less than its free cashflow. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of د.إ1.1b, well over the د.إ542.4m it reported in profit. Notably, Presight AI Holding had negative free cash flow last year, so the د.إ1.1b it produced this year was a welcome improvement.
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
Our Take On Presight AI Holding's Profit Performance
Happily for shareholders, Presight AI Holding produced plenty of free cash flow to back up its statutory profit numbers. Based on this observation, we consider it possible that Presight AI Holding's statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! On the other hand, its EPS actually shrunk in the last twelve months. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. While conducting our analysis, we found that Presight AI Holding has 2 warning signs and it would be unwise to ignore them.
This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Presight AI Holding's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ADX:PRESIGHT
Presight AI Holding
Operates as a big data analytics company powered by generative artificial intelligence (AI) in the United Arab Emirates and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with reasonable growth potential.
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